TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$986,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $986,441 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Under59c758,442$447,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310,988.467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over41c250,000$102,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,5007946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Over41c169,492$69,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,491.523844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under59c111,788$66,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,593.6620354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over41c109,226$44,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,743.571,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over41c100,000$41,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,00039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over41c77,747$31,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,876.1940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over41c25,000$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3503339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Over40c24,215$9,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6864365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over41c21,500$8,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7151,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over41c19,512$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.9940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over40c18,808$7,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,523.1317057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over40c18,450$7,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,38051452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over41c15,300$6,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,224.22,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1008845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under59c7,123$4,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.5126058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c5,824$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.432,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over40c4,950$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98018641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over44c4,444$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.1491945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under57c4,108$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.681,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Over40c3,340$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3363764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over41c3,333$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.537949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over41c2,654$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.5583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over41c1,888$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.321,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over41c1,829$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under56c1,715$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.4451550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over40c1,512$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.8791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under61c1,395$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.998060%48 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010850.9%55 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under56c1,120$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.827150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under62c1,050$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2139751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over40c1,014$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0612733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over40c1,001$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.426551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over40c999.94$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9858352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c657$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.752,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over41c619$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7921549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25232648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over44c500$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.536852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Over41c492.68$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over7c414.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.982638.5%10 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+228.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Under61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.842045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over42c367.34$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.284748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…61a9backed Under55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b06…a3fdbacked Under55c341$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd768…f352backed Over45c324$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ecc…ba0bbacked Under55c323$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Over7c312.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.873729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad6e…fc66backed Over40c303.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.59475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1177248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b01…01dcbacked Over45c291$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59a…950cbacked Under55c283$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1239…f041backed Over45c283$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b11…6230backed Over45c280$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208138.3%31 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under58c265.73$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6514353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44f…6d00backed Under55c261$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef1…352ebacked Over42c253.62$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9f…169ebacked Under55c245$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over41c243.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Over40c243.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.53847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe182…1dfabacked Over45c226$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7546…cf3ebacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a23…eed0backed Over45c198$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf132…1dc7backed Over45c188$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e44…322cbacked Under55c187$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d9…bef3backed Under58c185$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.11070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over38c176.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.723,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6715257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6722151.1%113 W · 108 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6713648.5%66 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Over42c162$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.046855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over42c158.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2682353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Under62c148.49$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568055%44 W · 36 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Over43c142.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.811546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over41c141.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0819356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under61c135.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.421754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under67c119.16$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.733141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over47c98.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5321856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over41c97.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0213253%70 W · 62 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8d…674fbacked Over43c95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over43c91.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020447.1%96 W · 108 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over42c91.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.096642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over43c86.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3511656%65 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over41c81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.216144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over61c76.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5927453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over36c75.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.361,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7520857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over41c74.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7413549.6%67 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Under58c69.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.529949.8%149 W · 150 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over44c65.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8110047%47 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under64c60.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.851,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdab…8dc6backed Under60c57.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over35c56.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.572015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4025…8a80backed Over41c56.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.