NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x241a13d1785ab7f167fabee2a6275760ae0b550c401a9690799ceda0fe4624f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Blue Jackets, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,966 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb888…f103backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 709.6$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…4cd4backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 492$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers | 66c | 490$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8836…4eb4backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 460$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Blue Jackets | 34c | 407.94$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…282cbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 402$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…2e97backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 306$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blue Jackets | 31c | 301.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…6b4dbacked Flyers | 68c | 286$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…c6cfbacked Flyers | 68c | 280$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…37debacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 273$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d7…9907backed Flyers | 68c | 272$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…31ccbacked Flyers | 68c | 266$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Flyers | 67c | 250.09$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…5a75backed Flyers | 67c | 232.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked Flyers | 67c | 227.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 209.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3374…ebdfbacked Flyers | 68c | 205$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Flyers | 67c | 185.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5722…2fc4backed Flyers | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef9…ea05backed Flyers | 68c | 157$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd07c…e4e0backed Flyers | 68c | 157$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 154.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd203…7f77backed Flyers | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Flyers | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Flyers | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Flyers | 69c | 116.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Flyers | 69c | 102.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Flyers | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 88.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Flyers | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Flyers | 68c | 74.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 48.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 47.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 45.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 44.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 33.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Flyers | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Flyers | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Flyers | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Flyers | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. FlyersBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.