TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,193 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under49c51,586$25,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,434.820354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,499.9522443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c42,228$20,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,570.9240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c19,512$9,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,951.2240356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over53c16,050$8,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,506.551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c15,910$7,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,432.339047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,949.971,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c13,279$6,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,788.291,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c9,926$5,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,062.221,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over51c7,805$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,980.033743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over52c7,586$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.725639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over51c7,210$3,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.0518641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Over53c7,000$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.362147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12013049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c3,850$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.522,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over52c2,058$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.3810146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over51c2,020$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0306147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over54c1,661$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.9936648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over53c1,500$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over52c1,442$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over53c1,219$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.4521549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Over53c1,122$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-57.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c1,010$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c832.8$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.3791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over51c735$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8526551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c605.57$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.573,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31232648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c561.41$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.41,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over52c517.35$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0258352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c490.65$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Over53c490.57$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26018548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over53c469$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.573545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21234752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20827049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c372.08$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.812,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over55c368$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.411252.7%59 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over53c362$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.861,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over55c327.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over50c304.8$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.432650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over53c282$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.463253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Under49c254.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.082045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over52c230$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c207.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6266552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over54c191.02$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1582353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Over53c186.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0617553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Over54c176.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.053056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under49c142.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7465721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Over57c135.09$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7724346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over53c133.8$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc586…e465backed Under49c132.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Over53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020447.1%96 W · 108 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under48c104.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0411650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c103.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1521754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over27c100.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7129553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over52c92.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.719651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over52c92.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2212733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Over52c90.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.923650%18 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c88.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4737754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under49c88.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.126642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f4e…5e06backed Under49c74.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.091747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Over52c71.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.382951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.59545.3%43 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over53c69.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0456553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over52c68.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.843141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a4…9a10backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under46c57.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1512335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed Over54c51.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under37c47.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.351,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over63c47.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8810447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6b8…0d55backed Under49c45.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5586049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under49c42.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5319356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351c…9dffbacked Under49c38.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over53c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1415944.7%71 W · 88 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x111c…40a3backed Over53c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over53c37.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.011136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208850%44 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under49c35.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.968138.3%31 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd827…fe79backed Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2510438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over53c31.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4617042.4%72 W · 98 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0922…d5dcbacked Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.959852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed Under48c29.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.182560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over52c21.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.056144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under49c21.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7712947.3%61 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over72c19.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.827453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over53c18.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014743.5%64 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.