TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f4e…5e06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.19
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$41.23
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$16.85
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$49.21
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.31
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$25.87
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+41%+$20.52
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$10.18
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$22.12
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$9.18
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$38.09
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.1
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$8.46
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$45.3
Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$65.19
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$19.25
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.46
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$19.73
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.23
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$41.16
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63%+$32.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.