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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Mexico State Aggiesof New Mexico State Aggies, Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,196 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeb49…1fbebacked New Mexico State Aggies56c4,399$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.757951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c3,824$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.562,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks21c3,037$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.365,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks32c2,427$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.5943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked New Mexico State Aggies52c2,241$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.5439454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico State Aggies76c2,085$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.071,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked New Mexico State Aggies76c1,643$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0418954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks21c1,508$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.244,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked New Mexico State Aggies52c1,496$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.121,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New Mexico State Aggies73c1,188$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.352,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico State Aggies72c964.56$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.583,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks20c808.78$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.144,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked New Mexico State Aggies79c747.98$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7961446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks19c726.73$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8216243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c721.64$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.397337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks29c716.66$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.832,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks28c696.97$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.571,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked New Mexico State Aggies52c669.63$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.4226749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks16c646.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks49c547.31$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1821955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks10c506.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked New Mexico State Aggies52c476.57$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.756446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c411.43$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2516248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks22c390.44$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2842934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks49c378.66$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks28c315.19$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed New Mexico State Aggies51c308.88$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.281,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks28c300.65$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.188130.9%25 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c298.6$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.21,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico State Aggies77c267.01$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.655,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c255.36$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.492,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks28c230.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.511,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks49c209.42$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6212147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico State Aggies76c202.6$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.133,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks38c197.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2937947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked New Mexico State Aggies52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.583350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked New Mexico State Aggies74c181.71$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed New Mexico State Aggies77c173.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2316255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks42c163.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.481,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed New Mexico State Aggies64c154.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.815559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked New Mexico State Aggies52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4833445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c148.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3721850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks18c143.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.161,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed New Mexico State Aggies52c143$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6491848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c119.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.245446.3%25 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fae…c000backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks21c118.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.85812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-80.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed New Mexico State Aggies69c118.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5318548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked New Mexico State Aggies73c105.23$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5560551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c103.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5623054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…e488backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.562755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf910…bcf3backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed New Mexico State Aggies61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.544955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c99.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.582,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New Mexico State Aggies73c98.86$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.771,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…7824backed New Mexico State Aggies52c95.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.752748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8a…e89fbacked New Mexico State Aggies52c95.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked New Mexico State Aggies53c93.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.956450%32 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks24c83.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.281,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks34c60.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked New Mexico State Aggies64c52.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.983652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff37…1d94backed New Mexico State Aggies70c51.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.532755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed New Mexico State Aggies50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2549157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed New Mexico State Aggies52c49.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.916755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks49c49.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2918644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks29c47.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked New Mexico State Aggies78c44.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.834860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c43.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.611,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed New Mexico State Aggies71c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0314450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed New Mexico State Aggies77c39.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.261560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…6ccabacked New Mexico State Aggies70c33.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.954443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks49c32.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0361244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked New Mexico State Aggies77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.984854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked New Mexico State Aggies66c29.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.243956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed New Mexico State Aggies77c28.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.567565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed New Mexico State Aggies75c26.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.622853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed New Mexico State Aggies52c25.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4e…5e06backed New Mexico State Aggies69c25.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed New Mexico State Aggies68c22.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.172657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c34…2055backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c21.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12bb…cee9backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c21.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed New Mexico State Aggies79c20.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.435470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15bc…398cbacked New Mexico State Aggies77c20.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed New Mexico State Aggies51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.843053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked New Mexico State Aggies66c19.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7525829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked New Mexico State Aggies67c17.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.567254.2%39 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked New Mexico State Aggies76c15.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7326945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.