NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc2aa6156ba35b0eeed054356161114503adbaa91b6f52fc10d5956294dfbc38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,364 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 426,193$212,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,294.79 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 100,308$50,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,153.88 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 68,624$34,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,331.97 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 62,171$31,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,085.72 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 10,895$5,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,546.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 9,724$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.19 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 9,527$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.07 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…a339backed Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 51c | 4,903$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 4,796$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.53 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 4,641$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.81 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 4,042$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.94 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 3,877$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.64 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 52c | 2,287$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.25 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 1,532$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.15 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 1,247$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.09 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 1,236$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.61 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,200$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 48c | 1,175$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.47 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.4 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 41c | 1,014$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.12 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 52c | 884$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.68 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 51c | 843.14$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 70c | 829.85$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Over | 50c | 754.18$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…7d36backed Under | 75c | 753.2$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 64c | 733.07$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.16 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 50c | 669.05$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2454…ce1ebacked Under | 61c | 451.56$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 53c | 442$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 32c | 436.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 64c | 409$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 379$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 64c | 355.69$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 352.12$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 52c | 342.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 51c | 294.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 260.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…58edbacked Under | 60c | 243.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Under | 53c | 230.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Under | 54c | 228.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 207.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 51c | 205.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 50c | 198.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 196.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…9518backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 29c | 167.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under | 51c | 152.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 51c | 143.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 51c | 136.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 131.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked Under | 54c | 129.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 49c | 128.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Under | 51c | 108.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 102.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…5e06backed Under | 51c | 98.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 53c | 97.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 47c | 95.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 50c | 91.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 50c | 88.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 71c | 87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Under | 58c | 76.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Under | 51c | 71.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 51c | 67.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 51c | 60.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 51c | 60.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 51c | 60.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 51c | 58.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Under | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…d503backed Under | 51c | 57.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 51c | 55.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 51c | 51.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 52c | 50.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 37c | 48.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 52c | 48.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 51c | 47.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x592a…7f8bbacked Under | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 51c | 45.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.