NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x669095ce03fb14c0b29511fcc175854479cda60cf235e30b3e2628edecbf9bb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Penguins, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $747,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,045 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Penguins | 22c | 224,384$49,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,949.74 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Golden Knights | 78c | 111,625$86,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,073.65 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 78c | 106,484$83,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,430.79 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 59c | 97,119$57,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,832.91 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Penguins | 41c | 94,473$38,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,725.68 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Golden Knights | 60c | 55,000$32,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,002.11 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 40c | 54,065$21,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,621.87 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Penguins | 40c | 48,374$19,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,348.06 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 35,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Golden Knights | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,299.97 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights | 59c | 29,659$17,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,078.5 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 41c | 26,307$10,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,805.96 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 40c | 19,329$7,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,733.03 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 13,467$9,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.9 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…0f24backed Penguins | 0c | 10,043$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 39c | 8,030$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.66 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 42c | 8,000$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.89 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…12c7backed Golden Knights | 58c | 7,273$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Penguins | 41c | 7,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 77c | 6,831$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.11 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Golden Knights | 58c | 6,700$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.93 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Penguins | 42c | 6,620$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.29 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 41c | 6,264$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.93 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 42c | 5,807$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.31 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Golden Knights | 72c | 5,742$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.33 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Golden Knights | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Golden Knights | 58c | 4,655$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.17 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Penguins | 41c | 4,444$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.15 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 42c | 4,096$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.11 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Penguins | 41c | 4,028$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 41c | 4,000$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 41c | 3,653$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.73 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Golden Knights | 59c | 3,551$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.75 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Golden Knights | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Golden Knights | 59c | 3,391$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.96 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Penguins | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Penguins | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Golden Knights | 61c | 3,000$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.22 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Penguins | 40c | 2,725$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.52 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Penguins | 41c | 2,520$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.34 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Penguins | 41c | 2,340$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.54 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Penguins | 10c | 2,225$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.17 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Penguins | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Penguins | 24c | 2,105$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Penguins | 40c | 1,901$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.2 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Penguins | 41c | 1,874$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,800$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.04 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,632$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.43 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,578$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.85 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Penguins | 29c | 1,438$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Penguins | 42c | 1,424$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.18 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Golden Knights | 78c | 1,324$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.42 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 22c | 1,310$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 6c | 1,124$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,084$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.64 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,033$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.19 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…0620backed Penguins | 10c | 1,004$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +448%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Penguins | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,000$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.97 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Penguins | 41c | 1,000$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Penguins | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 73c | 996.32$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.37 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Penguins | 31c | 995.36$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Penguins | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.99 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Penguins | 40c | 899.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Penguins | 40c | 869.9$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.96 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Penguins | 22c | 859.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.15 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Penguins | 41c | 850$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…ad96backed Penguins | 41c | 839.02$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Penguins | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 75c | 794.34$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Penguins | 42c | 763.6$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.77 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Penguins | 41c | 734.15$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Penguins | 41c | 706.63$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.71 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Penguins | 15c | 700.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Golden Knights | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Penguins | 40c | 678.49$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.28 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…d156backed Golden Knights | 61c | 628.32$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Penguins | 41c | 610.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Penguins | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Penguins | 17c | 607.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Penguins | 25c | 589.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c5cebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 566$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.97 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Golden Knights | 79c | 562.6$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…ff47backed Golden Knights | 59c | 539.1$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Penguins | 12c | 533$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Penguins | 41c | 531$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.51 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Penguins | 22c | 526.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…78e3backed Golden Knights | 59c | 511.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Golden Knights | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Penguins | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Golden Knights | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 495.34$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.