TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,978 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00039249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under50c41,409$20,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,704.6822049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over14c14,376$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.423,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00023245.7%106 W · 126 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b2…f558backed Over50c10,036$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c8,824$4,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,412.1612552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c5,150$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,511.151,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under50c2,302$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.0821043.8%92 W · 118 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Under56c1,793$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.653447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under49c1,596$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.210947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over44c1,491$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.8120238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under47c1,390$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.633043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Over53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70033960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over16c1,263$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1811837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over49c810.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under68c770.41$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.21,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over31c743.83$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.33,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under58c707.84$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8417357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under56c623.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.964259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25511050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over48c485.42$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23398856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfda5…dbfabacked Over53c474.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Under48c416.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.434755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under59c411.45$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.474,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over53c358.49$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19022843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under61c354.65$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.892,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over28c322.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3819451.5%100 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1598749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over49c289.78$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14110251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over50c288.58$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2915141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over19c270.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2838844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Over11c263.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Over41c249.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10312148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aee…43bdbacked Over49c218.37$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029550.5%48 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9214856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c191.45$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.615349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bb…74fcbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under55c182.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1814843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Over12c165.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under53c157.53$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.044337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.546344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.529244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c137.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9245639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over51c129$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7949745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over51c117$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3354346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…2d57backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c104.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.592,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5148948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4731852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451926.3%5 W · 14 L-6.3wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-61.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed Over47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478959.6%53 W · 36 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e86…6b0fbacked Over53c98.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4e…5e06backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under51c94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.741471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9172451.2%371 W · 353 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over47c89.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2912555.2%69 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over51c88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8827443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over52c76.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0d…65ebbacked Under54c73.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0865…3d2cbacked Over15c71.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb9…0f15backed Under51c71.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.181246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.656554.2%306 W · 259 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under50c66.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5429547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked Under52c52.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.621338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under52c52.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3812856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf808…6e99backed Over48c51.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe140…949fbacked Over53c46.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.756245.2%28 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Over43c46.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9546349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68fa…b21bbacked Over24c46.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xfc6b…72bdbacked Over52c41.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1816644.6%74 W · 92 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x287c…78aabacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b16…fbe4backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Over53c37.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205232.7%17 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb00…5461backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick68cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over37c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.691,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a34…e379backed Over50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked Over53c35.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910156.4%57 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab4…04efbacked Over53c34.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Over47c33.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7783643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d11…a8e1backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.16943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8305…7114backed Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d7…ec13backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…a1c0backed Under52c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed Under51c25.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6311230.4%34 W · 78 L-16.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1cd0…45a2backed Over50c24.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43e…fecfbacked Under48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.483056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…b2d3backed Over53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6635043.1%151 W · 199 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.