CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6353c0fb42fedd926bd2055fc192b2e0fbf9bcb3313e08de30a03a256e2e5022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof TheMongolz, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $787,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,218 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 74,359$46,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,316.95 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…684ebacked TheMongolz | 39c | 45,391$17,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,776.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 39,048$21,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,143.02 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 35,000$15,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,398.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz | 42c | 31,462$13,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,249.39 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.99 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed TheMongolz | 24c | 28,048$6,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,852.03 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 23,020$16,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,634.25 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.9 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…65e0backed TheMongolz | 44c | 14,177$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 13,705$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.23 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 3c | 13,264$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed TheMongolz | 43c | 13,200$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,675.96 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 13,004$7,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.84 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 12,500$7,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed TheMongolz | 21c | 12,357$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.77 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed TheMongolz | 43c | 12,025$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.72 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.98 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed TheMongolz | 43c | 11,375$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 11,375$6,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed TheMongolz | 13c | 10,244$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.02 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed TheMongolz | 43c | 9,082$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.07 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…be4ebacked TheMongolz | 44c | 8,500$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed TheMongolz | 5c | 8,461$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.59 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 8,203$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed TheMongolz | 44c | 7,410$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.4 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed TheMongolz | 42c | 6,881$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.02 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 6,809$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.54 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56c…b975backed TheMongolz | 43c | 6,801$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 3c | 6,749$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.17 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…5e99backed TheMongolz | 27c | 6,572$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed TheMongolz | 43c | 6,397$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…a76ebacked TheMongolz | 43c | 6,073$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed TheMongolz | 43c | 6,073$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.5 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz | 43c | 5,816$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 5,555$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.2 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed TheMongolz | 43c | 5,501$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 5,495$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.16 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed TheMongolz | 42c | 5,075$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.46 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 5,044$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.89 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 41c | 5,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.97 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked TheMongolz | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.97 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…5367backed TheMongolz | 26c | 4,925$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 4,917$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.68 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 3c | 4,697$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,078$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.41 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 4,000$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.96 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 28c | 3,980$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.25 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed TheMongolz | 42c | 3,953$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.17 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 12c | 3,948$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.08 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 3,861$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.81 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,700$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed TheMongolz | 20c | 3,692$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.86 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 3,540$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.44 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…ab64backed TheMongolz | 36c | 3,494$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,399$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.16 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed TheMongolz | 42c | 3,385$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.19 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed TheMongolz | 42c | 3,300$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.99 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed TheMongolz | 23c | 3,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…cea0backed TheMongolz | 44c | 3,030$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed TheMongolz | 35c | 3,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.97 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz | 11c | 2,954$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,694$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.58 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,650$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.49 | 607 | 48.1%292 W · 315 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed TheMongolz | 44c | 2,557$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…9f90backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,533$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…27dabacked TheMongolz | 44c | 2,495$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…0d05backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,492$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked TheMongolz | 24c | 2,459$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.48 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 2,452$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.32 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,379$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.43 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,339$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.46 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 2,330$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.89 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed TheMongolz | 44c | 2,327$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 2,327$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed TheMongolz | 44c | 2,300$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.79 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TheMongolz | 22c | 2,285$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.04 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…3b02backed TheMongolz | 44c | 2,251$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…db51backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,200$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed TheMongolz | 38c | 2,198$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,188$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.76 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…681ebacked TheMongolz | 4c | 2,102$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,021$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…01c2backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed TheMongolz | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…c2d9backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,000$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.25 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed TheMongolz | 27c | 1,944$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.77 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,943$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.35 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.