CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464e9fd8992dcd8e67222c7af7ff11ecfb388726b8a796afb6bc3e3f62dd1034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof TheMongolz, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,396 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed TheMongolz | 40c | 15,830$6,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,317.75 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz | 48c | 10,827$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.07 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed TheMongolz | 46c | 10,632$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.42 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed TheMongolz | 43c | 7,681$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.83 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 7,114$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.28 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 6,520$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.41 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 6,378$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.64 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed TheMongolz | 53c | 5,961$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.23 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 5,251$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.78 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 5,103$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.59 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed TheMongolz | 39c | 4,713$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.83 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 4,462$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.95 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,365$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.34 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz | 36c | 4,114$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.05 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,970$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.37 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 3,842$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.97 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,775$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.26 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 38c | 3,490$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.75 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed TheMongolz | 44c | 3,262$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.46 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 3,089$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.71 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,915$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.45 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 2,744$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.82 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked TheMongolz | 32c | 2,502$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz | 35c | 2,349$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.15 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 2,305$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,199$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.21 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 2,187$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.54 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,143$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.31 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,136$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.3 | 549 | 38.4%211 W · 338 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,985$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.91 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…f23abacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,970$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,930$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.26 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,883$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.57 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed TheMongolz | 43c | 1,861$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.37 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,844$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.36 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…ef17backed TheMongolz | 44c | 1,790$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,709$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,641$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.38 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,471$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,384$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.97 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz | 43c | 1,376$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.04 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed TheMongolz | 41c | 1,360$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked TheMongolz | 44c | 1,293$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed TheMongolz | 43c | 1,265$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.78 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz | 25c | 1,193$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 1,002$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.74 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…d156backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 981.75$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 946.07$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.35 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed TheMongolz | 41c | 945.33$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.13 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 881.96$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.7 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 843$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.99 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz | 31c | 749.95$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.49 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 720.2$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.98 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 719.48$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.11 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 700.59$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.91 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 29c | 699.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.7 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked TheMongolz | 43c | 674.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed TheMongolz | 41c | 670$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 647.31$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed TheMongolz | 18c | 631.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 611.96$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz | 43c | 589.41$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.99 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 575.27$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 573.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.44 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 536.76$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 520.46$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 513.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked TheMongolz | 47c | 500$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.22 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked TheMongolz | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 493.82$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 479.41$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 471.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 424$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 421.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 402.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed TheMongolz | 53c | 377.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 370$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 365.21$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 347.37$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 339.54$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 21c | 326$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 318.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…3ed3backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 308.39$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed TheMongolz | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 289.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 286.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 285$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 283.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked TheMongolz | 44c | 271.35$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked TheMongolz | 44c | 260.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz | 5c | 252$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.