CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8c04d309ddd9fb17cae25c9b429ccf08aed534b43c7f7e5964bf2ffe7f0022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof TheMongolz, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,483 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed TheMongolz | 52c | 30,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,499.99 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 25,705$11,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,836.74 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 17,816$8,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,393.73 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 15,695$7,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,423.4 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 13,405$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.47 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 11c | 11,260$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.48 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…39b6backed TheMongolz | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…ee85backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed TheMongolz | 46c | 6,973$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.87 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 6,540$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.54 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 6,038$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.64 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 5,949$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.01 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed TheMongolz | 38c | 5,848$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.67 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…f23abacked TheMongolz | 53c | 4,390$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed TheMongolz | 20c | 3,830$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 25c | 3,812$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,791$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.88 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 15c | 3,687$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.83 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed TheMongolz | 16c | 3,570$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…b2cabacked TheMongolz | 52c | 3,535$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 3,043$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.97 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 34c | 3,008$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.22 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 55c | 3,002$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.93 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 34c | 2,482$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.05 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,431$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.26 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 35c | 2,231$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.83 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed TheMongolz | 10c | 2,224$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz | 14c | 2,105$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.85 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 1,918$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.75 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz | 55c | 1,900$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.6 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,768$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 22c | 1,700$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,688$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.21 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed TheMongolz | 25c | 1,608$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed TheMongolz | 52c | 1,604$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed TheMongolz | 52c | 1,539$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.22 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed TheMongolz | 41c | 1,450$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.98 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed TheMongolz | 25c | 1,317$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.17 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,200$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed TheMongolz | 53c | 1,170$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed TheMongolz | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed TheMongolz | 19c | 1,124$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.21 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed TheMongolz | 13c | 1,116$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 28c | 1,048$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.76 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TheMongolz | 52c | 1,018$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.46 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 1,004$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.75 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked TheMongolz | 10c | 1,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked TheMongolz | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed TheMongolz | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ac…ae05backed TheMongolz | 26c | 998.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…ef98backed TheMongolz | 54c | 936.85$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed TheMongolz | 44c | 907.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.52 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed TheMongolz | 58c | 889.17$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.94 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 868.16$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.16 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed TheMongolz | 53c | 823.06$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.22 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked TheMongolz | 49c | 821$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.09 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…8dd1backed TheMongolz | 55c | 783.53$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed TheMongolz | 19c | 762.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 31c | 738.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…14a5backed TheMongolz | 27c | 732.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 729.19$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.89 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed TheMongolz | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed TheMongolz | 49c | 693$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.63 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed TheMongolz | 40c | 649.98$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 646.43$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.43 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked TheMongolz | 7c | 639.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…681ebacked TheMongolz | 52c | 634.07$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 33c | 634.01$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 627$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.1 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 617.82$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.33 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed TheMongolz | 48c | 612$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.78 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed TheMongolz | 52c | 590$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked TheMongolz | 27c | 588.74$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…446dbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked TheMongolz | 54c | 556.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked TheMongolz | 7c | 548$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed TheMongolz | 47c | 540$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…db51backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 537.66$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed TheMongolz | 17c | 522.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed TheMongolz | 49c | 504$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.83 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked TheMongolz | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TheMongolz | 24c | 433.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 430.6$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.3 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked TheMongolz | 7c | 429.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 413.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.81 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed TheMongolz | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz | 19c | 376.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.