TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd01a…bf29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
299
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10167.3%68 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,236.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$643.17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+83.6%+$136.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$24.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+32.2%+$14.6
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69%+$49.38
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+55%+$21.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.7%+$665.7
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120.98
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160.98
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$229.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+41.1%+$23.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+50.9%+$77.59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+27.6%+$43.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+34.1%+$43.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$46.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$169.92
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.3%+$147.95
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+82.4%+$135.5
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST7051.4%36 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$338.08
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$356.4
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37.9%+$133.17
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25.7%+$71.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$154.26
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26%+$161
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29%+$33.7
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.4%+$63.7
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+34.4%+$140.22
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+78.1%+$220.85
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+68.1%+$40.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$61.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$75
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33%+$285.6
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$246.2
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+71.6%+$85.86
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$60
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$167.4
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.9%+$80.3
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST5962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+30.4%+$28
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.1%+$19.3
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.8%+$55.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+43.2%+$39.2
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.4%+$163.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+119.6%+$193.08
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.6%+$167.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$771.45
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.3%+$195
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$23.2
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.9%+$98.75
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$846.35
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$430
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+74.4%+$384
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63%+$116
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$472.45
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS (BO3)backed AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+120.4%+$113.17
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$178
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$76.5
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.2%+$36
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$133.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.4%+$47.15
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$30.77
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$92.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$507.31
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+207.7%+$134.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+74.6%+$897.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalobacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$268.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+46.6%+$61.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27%+$79.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$107.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$79.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.