Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5adc5f3ba5556359b120fbb81d3d880d15094bf567afa6158846747e763804ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Execration, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6218…f388backed Execration | 39c | 8,929$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Team Nemesis | 2c | 5,425$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 5,322$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.88 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 2,066$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.74 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Team Nemesis | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +100%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 1,587$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 1,371$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.16 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Team Nemesis | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Execration | 30c | 969.32$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.35 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 715.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 670$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 600$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Execration | 45c | 524$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.88 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Execration | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Execration | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Execration | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Execration | 55c | 495$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Team Nemesis | 8c | 327.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Team Nemesis | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 280.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Execration | 41c | 218.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Execration | 29c | 200.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 194.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 143.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 142.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Execration | 32c | 138$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…8b62backed Execration | 33c | 123.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +260.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…3f30backed Execration | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 96.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Execration | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Execration | 36c | 74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Execration | 36c | 57.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Execration | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…c508backed Execration | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Execration | 37c | 39.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Execration | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Execration | 38c | 31.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 30.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Execration | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Execration | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…7527backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 21.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.6wins | -0.42per pick | 69cpaid | -65%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa985…1ebfbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 20.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)Execration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis - Game 3 WinnerExecration won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.