Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd189dddf3af0009e9b027cf4ef98a41ea01fcb3d017bf69f2869b899999cdc1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Execration, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 14,588$8,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,370.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Team Nemesis | 5c | 13,237$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.73 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed Execration | 44c | 13,221$5,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,390.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Execration | 73c | 10,000$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 10c | 5,142$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.19 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 4,040$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.57 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…8b62backed Execration | 40c | 3,202$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +260.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Execration | 40c | 3,000$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 2,406$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.37 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 2,153$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Execration | 41c | 2,148$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.32 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Execration | 74c | 2,068$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.99 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 1,849$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Execration | 44c | 1,766$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.3 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 1,716$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked Execration | 77c | 1,494$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 1,444$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.35 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 1,417$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.86 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Execration | 35c | 1,300$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.21 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Execration | 64c | 1,289$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.43 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Execration | 40c | 1,268$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Execration | 40c | 1,255$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…215ebacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 1,228$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Execration | 61c | 1,202$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.64 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 1,100$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ff…2390backed Execration | 40c | 1,010$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Execration | 43c | 1,002$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.31 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 983.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 961.85$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 922.41$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.88 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Execration | 50c | 910.25$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.77 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Execration | 40c | 880$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Execration | 42c | 866$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.49 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Execration | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Execration | 72c | 801.58$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Execration | 54c | 751.62$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.5 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…3f30backed Team Nemesis | 2c | 690.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 655.47$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.46 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Execration | 45c | 642.85$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 624.63$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Execration | 40c | 622.12$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.27 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Execration | 74c | 587.66$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Execration | 40c | 535$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Execration | 27c | 523.64$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.16 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Execration | 51c | 508.49$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.06 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Execration | 40c | 490$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Execration | 55c | 459.71$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.87 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 413.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Execration | 49c | 408.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…c71ebacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 355.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Execration | 34c | 353.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 345.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Execration | 40c | 335.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Execration | 65c | 308.16$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Execration | 73c | 303.7$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Execration | 44c | 288.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 251.49$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 247.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Nemesis | 8c | 231.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Execration | 44c | 228.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd33…6c0dbacked Execration | 74c | 227.07$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Nemesis | 79c | 219.43$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Execration | 42c | 218.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Nemesis | 10c | 210.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 201.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Execration | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 191.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Team Nemesis | 77c | 191.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Execration | 54c | 189.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis | 10c | 183.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 169.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Execration | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…73d5backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 148.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…0ceabacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 142.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Execration | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…3199backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 126.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Execration | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6718backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 113.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…ea56backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 109.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Execration | 36c | 109.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Execration | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Nemesis | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…3639backed Execration | 35c | 94.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…895ebacked Execration | 77c | 90.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…8518backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 87.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…cf6cbacked Execration | 56c | 87.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 86.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Execration | 36c | 86.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…e051backed Execration | 18c | 74.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 72.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed Execration | 62c | 72.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Execration | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…9f0abacked Execration | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Execration | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)this page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerExecration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis - Game 3 WinnerExecration won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.