TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid69c21,606$14,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,619.6555157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Zero Tenacity32c6,100$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.4825446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Zero Tenacity33c6,019$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Zero Tenacity32c5,113$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.947647.4%36 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity34c4,946$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.492,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2219…a5e9backed Zero Tenacity1c3,700$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51320%0 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid63c2,601$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.2113558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x844a…3d8abacked Zero Tenacity27c2,251$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Team Liquid78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Zero Tenacity36c1,926$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.3947748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity34c1,678$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.7873841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Team Liquid64c1,232$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.033447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Zero Tenacity24c1,079$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20de…8b62backed Zero Tenacity20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+260.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed Team Liquid54c782.3$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.144949%24 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…9e54backed Zero Tenacity15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Zero Tenacity20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Zero Tenacity28c491.36$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3855251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10431545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid68c400$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12729047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Zero Tenacity39c355$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.461548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Team Liquid61c300$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9f…b918backed Zero Tenacity23c299.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity55c272.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15054445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Zero Tenacity35c262.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7877458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Zero Tenacity23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816155.3%89 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Zero Tenacity24c240$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.659250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Zero Tenacity33c237.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7286949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid78c234.34$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9761057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Zero Tenacity10c232$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.273743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Zero Tenacity24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4864123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…cbe5backed Team Liquid56c188.74$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.62757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Zero Tenacity39c166.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6533743.6%147 W · 190 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked Team Liquid64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb14…49b2backed Zero Tenacity69c154.31$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.26043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Team Liquid69c153.55$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0614254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked Zero Tenacity28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.63935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Zero Tenacity11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11879.2%8 W · 79 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Zero Tenacity50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Zero Tenacity23c94.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7912449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid76c93.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.692056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Zero Tenacity23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520952.6%110 W · 99 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9fb0backed Zero Tenacity22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked Zero Tenacity24c59.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.294938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8478…4355backed Zero Tenacity24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123537.1%13 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1af1…7b88backed Team Liquid37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf55b…9f18backed Team Liquid43c48.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d22…95b7backed Team Liquid63c47.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e4…4113backed Team Liquid70c47.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.142882.1%23 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Zero Tenacity38c28.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.98037.5%30 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d4…b96cbacked Team Liquid64c25.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.047048.6%34 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7719…80b6backed Team Liquid77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.751080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6698…e620backed Team Liquid53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.42556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked Team Liquid79c13.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9218154.7%99 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.