TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,068,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,314,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,068,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 812 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0222…8ff7backed Yes45c1,298,623$587,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587,438.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf208…fa74backed Yes46c1,245,101$575,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575,171.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No54c599,998$325,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273,998.965651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No54c434,782$234,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199,999.715556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No54c414,788$223,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190,798.6927750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c196,407$111,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,124.396,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c193,211$110,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,497.152,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No55c145,000$79,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,249.9824846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No55c102,584$56,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,462.0135652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c100,015$54,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,688.92,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No55c100,000$55,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,999.9518950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c93,392$51,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,403.022,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No55c93,000$50,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,28016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c82,322$45,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,878.461,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes46c70,000$32,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,2008146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No54c52,683$28,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,231.8621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No54c49,940$26,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,972.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No55c46,640$25,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,851.578453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No54c45,000$24,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,699.992774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes46c40,000$18,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,199.992524%6 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed No56c34,789$19,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,307.291457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed No55c30,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,499.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed No57c20,000$11,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,503.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c19,423$8,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,288.891,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No54c18,888$10,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,612.9216848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No56c18,000$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,92015949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No55c17,368$9,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,770.3512847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No56c17,052$9,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,569.4921049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c16,251$6,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,912.381,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No63c14,510$9,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,326.193473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc57f…e9d1backed No54c14,000$7,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,440683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes44c12,754$5,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,628.946240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No58c12,500$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.975655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No35c11,998$4,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,803.0650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes45c11,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9502646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No55c11,000$6,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,97037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No55c10,705$5,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,817.2419239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No55c10,700$5,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,79856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8007548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.98939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No65c9,616$6,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.772281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.26per pick55cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes78c9,395$7,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,315.422166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No54c8,547$4,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,931.753246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yes42c8,110$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No54c8,000$4,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,657.1511346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes35c7,500$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62513852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes34c7,340$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.591050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c7,237$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.014,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No66c6,528$4,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.4216238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No56c6,178$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.9815748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No56c6,000$3,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,61015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3934…8352backed No57c5,955$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No55c5,630$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.7825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No58c5,551$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.4214258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No56c5,354$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.7610159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No57c5,328$3,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.741,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe44…c279backed No63c5,291$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.999845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No55c4,866$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.4979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No56c4,800$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1121,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No59c4,768$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.3461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes44c4,506$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.7226344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb99d…1e6abacked No54c4,444$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No54c4,420$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.21376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No59c4,235$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes72c4,200$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.7728736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes46c4,144$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.953923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7602544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No58c4,000$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.3390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yes47c3,928$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.155851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c3,890$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.1221056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No54c3,820$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.3410335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes40c3,549$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.65455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No60c3,525$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.1448150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5757448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes42c3,439$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.774630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes28c3,036$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.5329044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3507138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9919729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.994252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed No26c2,959$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.85742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed No54c2,800$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No56c2,581$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.3252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No55c2,500$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,13040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No56c2,411$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.714365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No55c2,400$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No55c2,400$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No58c2,400$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9614254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes41c2,398$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2999…277dbacked Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5d0…1d70backed Yes43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No66c2,278$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.433256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes37c2,253$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.066134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes27c2,250$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.882441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.