Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf8ba1837fe2d6ff2f6f9923c638653d4465e99b2a78fe22e7b586c9019489f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 33c | 30,177$9,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,879.09 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Falcons | 74c | 27,433$20,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,012.09 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 62c | 11,466$7,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.87 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 28c | 10,773$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.79 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 26c | 6,703$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.15 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 6,405$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.17 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 4,987$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.36 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,280$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,970$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,819$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.05 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,775$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.7 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,625$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.01 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 17c | 1,460$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.64 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,146$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.53 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,132$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.89 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,112$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Team Liquid | 12c | 1,100$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 19c | 1,022$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Team Liquid | 42c | 856.52$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.91 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Liquid | 27c | 840.34$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 762.45$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.72 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Falcons | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Liquid | 46c | 650.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Team Falcons | 53c | 600.93$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.03 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…374ebacked Team Liquid | 19c | 597.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Team Falcons | 75c | 590.23$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Falcons | 58c | 589.73$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Team Liquid | 23c | 499.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Team Liquid | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Team Liquid | 45c | 442.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 61c | 395.27$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 382.09$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid | 29c | 324$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Team Falcons | 54c | 323.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons | 71c | 314.62$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Team Liquid | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…9776backed Team Liquid | 36c | 299.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…3367backed Team Liquid | 37c | 260.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Falcons | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…786bbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 235.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Team Liquid | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Team Falcons | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid | 29c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Team Liquid | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Team Falcons | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Team Falcons | 55c | 172.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Team Falcons | 80c | 168.11$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 166.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…e065backed Team Liquid | 30c | 162.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…d30fbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…0220backed Team Liquid | 17c | 145.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 35c | 121.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 116.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Liquid | 17c | 108.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…1989backed Team Liquid | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6033backed Team Falcons | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…df65backed Team Falcons | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…dc88backed Team Falcons | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Team Liquid | 34c | 97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…b222backed Team Liquid | 21c | 95.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Falcons | 62c | 93.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Team Falcons | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Team Falcons | 53c | 89.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 70.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…be7cbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Team Liquid | 20c | 64.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f2…6090backed Team Liquid | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Team Liquid | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Liquid | 27c | 60.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Team Liquid | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 59.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 58.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b31…470bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 56.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Team Liquid | 39c | 55.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Team Falcons | 73c | 55.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…6597backed Team Liquid | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Falcons | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Liquid | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Team Liquid | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…e02ebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons | 62c | 46.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Team Falcons | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Falcons | 62c | 43.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid | 26c | 39.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Falcons | 76c | 39.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…1a6ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 37.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…79c7backed Team Falcons | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…e3c8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 32.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…9f46backed Team Falcons | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…b401backed Team Falcons | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.