Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff11744ad17c17c644e4c520bd9efeed95a87b8fa22a2b3fd9b7890aeb9c8d11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 104,849$56,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,618.66 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 29,605$13,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,306.39 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Team Liquid | 78c | 26,741$20,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,794.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 16,334$7,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,820.14 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Team Liquid | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 53c | 12,678$6,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,974.67 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 10,777$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,876.75 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Team Falcons | 59c | 9,286$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.4 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Team Liquid | 46c | 8,944$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +715.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 8,560$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.59 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid | 54c | 7,000$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.14 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 51c | 5,445$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.11 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 5,412$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.46 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Team Liquid | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed Team Liquid | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 53c | 4,977$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.14 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 47c | 4,839$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.16 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…b77dbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 4,078$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Liquid | 65c | 3,925$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.11 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…7132backed Team Falcons | 6c | 2,192$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,067$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.81 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed Team Liquid | 43c | 2,047$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,003$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.1 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…cf4abacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +460.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,746$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.66 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,649$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.75 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,424$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.53 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,358$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.01 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 1,243$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 1,055$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Team Falcons | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Falcons | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 47c | 974.4$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.28 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Team Liquid | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.1 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 889.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.8 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Team Falcons | 62c | 810.33$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Team Falcons | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Liquid | 53c | 755.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.29 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Falcons | 52c | 748.15$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.73 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Team Liquid | 49c | 714.84$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.01 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 690.11$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.07 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Liquid | 45c | 656.6$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.1 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed Team Falcons | 47c | 625.98$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 50c | 604.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 546.42$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.11 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Falcons | 57c | 522.81$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Team Falcons | 51c | 519.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Team Falcons | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Team Falcons | 4c | 480$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 12cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 469.78$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.05 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Team Falcons | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373e…9c9ebacked Team Falcons | 46c | 437$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 410.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 41c | 401.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked Team Falcons | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 25cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Team Falcons | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 28cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Team Falcons | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 42c | 396.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.37 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 373.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Team Falcons | 54c | 359.62$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Team Falcons | 52c | 310.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…2f43backed Team Falcons | 46c | 300.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Team Liquid | 45c | 300.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Falcons | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 292$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Team Falcons | 58c | 272.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.29 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 271.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Falcons | 54c | 239.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 210.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Falcons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…0629backed Team Falcons | 48c | 200.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…7b07backed Team Falcons | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…d1e7backed Team Liquid | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 56c | 194.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Falcons | 57c | 190.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Team Falcons | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons | 49c | 183.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 183.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Falcons | 72c | 177.28$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 174.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Falcons | 57c | 166.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Falcons | 61c | 161.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…374ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Team Falcons | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 46c | 150.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…21b4backed Team Liquid | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.