Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa953cb1479c3df97ea552628c1e50515df7e0889aac7d280cd1d6bf95a0f41a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $887,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $887,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 718 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 43c | 105,536$45,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,141.9 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 59c | 46,503$27,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,276.5 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons | 59c | 41,312$24,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,505.86 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 38,781$15,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,998.22 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Team Falcons | 61c | 29,243$17,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,704.85 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 26,525$10,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,480.06 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 40c | 17,885$7,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,706.56 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 5c | 17,498$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.3 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 17,375$8,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,146.17 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Team Falcons | 50c | 17,368$8,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,673.67 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid | 38c | 16,765$6,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,316.11 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Liquid | 39c | 16,360$6,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,972.71 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Team Falcons | 62c | 16,063$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 7c | 13,674$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.76 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Team Liquid | 41c | 13,120$5,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 51c | 12,580$6,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.24 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Team Liquid | 41c | 12,100$4,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Liquid | 66c | 11,110$7,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.26 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 11,076$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,854.42 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 10,926$6,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,786.49 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Falcons | 67c | 10,500$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.99 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…d5f4backed Team Falcons | 65c | 10,346$6,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,717.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Team Liquid | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 9,817$6,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Team Falcons | 34c | 8,868$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 33c | 8,294$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,539.69 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Liquid | 34c | 7,694$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.8 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 7,605$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.94 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 36c | 7,379$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.49 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Falcons | 59c | 7,190$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.06 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Liquid | 36c | 6,767$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.74 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…c982backed Team Falcons | 64c | 6,743$4,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…b77dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 6,644$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Team Falcons | 66c | 6,400$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.09 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 6,024$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +196.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Team Liquid | 49c | 6,011$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1768…e91fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 5,136$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Team Liquid | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 39c | 4,999$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.65 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Team Falcons | 63c | 4,983$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.26 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Team Falcons | 76c | 4,806$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Falcons | 10c | 4,500$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.62 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Team Falcons | 44c | 4,425$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 4,407$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,387$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.79 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…491fbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 4,210$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.94 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 3,683$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.99 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 3,580$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.47 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 69c | 3,540$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.99 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Team Falcons | 59c | 3,348$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.19 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Falcons | 29c | 3,329$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.52 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,328$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.85 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Team Liquid | 46c | 3,300$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons | 27c | 3,285$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.97 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 7c | 3,250$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 3,212$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.79 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 48c | 3,155$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.05 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons | 27c | 3,088$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.64 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked Team Falcons | 17c | 3,014$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Falcons | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…d173backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,916$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,862$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.68 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,783$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 41c | 2,728$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.1 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7a…6227backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,720$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,681$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.54 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.84 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 42c | 2,609$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.71 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team Liquid | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,500$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,473$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.22 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Falcons | 66c | 2,460$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Team Falcons | 8c | 2,458$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,392$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.66 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,379$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid | 28c | 2,364$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.53 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 64c | 2,320$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…8518backed Team Falcons | 67c | 2,200$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x909b…6a0dbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 2,070$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…7659backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,050$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 2,045$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.74 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Liquid | 69c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,000$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.98 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…901ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,992$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons | 31c | 1,970$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,935$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.77 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Falcons | 14c | 1,902$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,900$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.49 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…2a1cbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,899$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…2b63backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,888$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,883$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.64 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 1,882$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.18 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…01ddbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 1,863$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…42c9backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,861$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 44c | 1,842$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.11 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,829$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.28 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.