Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e737b14cdae4deb05e48ec4e955912d6d66e19aa678397825a3b2dfd7730866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 16,753$9,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,935.24 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 15,362$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.47 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 7,494$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.03 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 7,350$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 47c | 4,789$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.4 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Liquid | 41c | 4,485$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.64 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 6c | 4,343$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 4,315$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.62 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Falcons | 1c | 4,296$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 4,075$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.24 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 40c | 3,970$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.94 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 41c | 3,581$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.29 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 17c | 3,333$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.41 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Liquid | 39c | 3,300$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 3,113$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.96 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…b77dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 3,020$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 2,976$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.97 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,874$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 2,849$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.36 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Liquid | 40c | 2,797$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.2 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 2,753$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.46 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Team Liquid | 39c | 2,730$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,616$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,027$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.37 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,995$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.92 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,800$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373e…9c9ebacked Team Falcons | 28c | 1,515$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 1,495$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.67 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed Team Falcons | 26c | 1,415$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Team Falcons | 17c | 1,300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,194$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.21 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Team Falcons | 25c | 1,144$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.67 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,093$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.17 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Falcons | 9c | 1,045$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons | 65c | 765.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 34c | 752.69$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Falcons | 21c | 685$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 652.54$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 638.39$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 573.5$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 11c | 571.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…c499backed Team Falcons | 24c | 543.16$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 5c | 529.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Falcons | 43c | 500$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 8c | 467.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Team Falcons | 31c | 457.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 455.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Team Falcons | 20c | 423.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Falcons | 8c | 416$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 403.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed Team Falcons | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…9776backed Team Liquid | 64c | 399.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid | 40c | 386.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 5c | 367.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 330.81$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…b401backed Team Falcons | 9c | 320$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…1b78backed Team Falcons | 3c | 304.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Falcons | 63c | 298.41$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Team Liquid | 60c | 297.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed Team Liquid | 39c | 294.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Team Falcons | 20c | 287.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Falcons | 55c | 270$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 269.37$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1bbcbacked Team Falcons | 9c | 266.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Falcons | 58c | 247.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…9088backed Team Falcons | 8c | 238.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…6f25backed Team Falcons | 65c | 238.32$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 61c | 232.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Team Falcons | 14c | 220.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…50debacked Team Falcons | 9c | 220.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…9f46backed Team Falcons | 14c | 216.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…e1a8backed Team Liquid | 61c | 214.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf45a…854bbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 208.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Team Falcons | 15c | 201.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Team Falcons | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Falcons | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 198.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 14c | 195.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Team Falcons | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Falcons | 14c | 185$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Team Falcons | 15c | 175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…1989backed Team Falcons | 58c | 173.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…6632backed Team Falcons | 9c | 173.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Team Liquid | 42c | 172.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Liquid | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…d276backed Team Falcons | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…0887backed Team Falcons | 19c | 157.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…0629backed Team Falcons | 53c | 155.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Team Liquid | 73c | 154.44$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Team Liquid | 67c | 149.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…c150backed Team Falcons | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…2f43backed Team Liquid | 39c | 138.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.