Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd921c1edfa423c4505f4dcb1ba57284bc59ab6af697688fb8686784222a0b043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d31…5285backed Team Liquid | 0c | 26,180$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 21,268$12,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,483.94 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 54c | 20,798$11,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,596.62 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 16,188$8,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,759.74 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Team Falcons | 63c | 10,560$6,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.98 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 10,108$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 9,120$4,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.7 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Falcons | 55c | 7,000$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.34 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 74c | 6,354$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.42 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 5,693$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.49 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 4,961$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.1 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 3c | 4,707$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.29 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Liquid | 0c | 4,481$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,075$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.44 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 4,001$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.59 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 3,805$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.35 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Team Falcons | 60c | 3,652$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.82 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Team Liquid | 48c | 3,127$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,905$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…b77dbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,130$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,119$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.29 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 2,095$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.86 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,864$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,830$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.6 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…7e84backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,756$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.56 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid | 5c | 1,741$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,366$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,254$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons | 43c | 1,168$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.64 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,145$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.51 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,140$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.55 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Team Liquid | 25c | 1,133$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.57 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,129$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.91 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,007$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.24 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.95 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Liquid | 52c | 959.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.57 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 839.33$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.7 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Falcons | 56c | 825.88$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.38 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid | 45c | 810.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.95 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Team Falcons | 55c | 730.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 68c | 699$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.32 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Liquid | 18c | 667.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373e…9c9ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 621.64$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid | 20c | 545.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 542.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 54c | 533.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 495.36$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.91 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 39c | 481.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.81 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a27…c8bbbacked Team Liquid | 4c | 404.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 392.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.21 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 380$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 58c | 354.18$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed Team Falcons | 58c | 305.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Team Falcons | 49c | 299.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Liquid | 45c | 273.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Liquid | 59c | 260.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.67 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 255.87$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Falcons | 56c | 252.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Falcons | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…40e6backed Team Liquid | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…d5d7backed Team Liquid | 6c | 245.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Team Liquid | 40c | 242.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Falcons | 39c | 235.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed Team Liquid | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 219.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 53c | 206.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Falcons | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…0629backed Team Falcons | 55c | 193.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…c499backed Team Liquid | 70c | 185.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Team Falcons | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 176.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Team Liquid | 41c | 176.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Falcons | 64c | 168.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 167.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Falcons | 49c | 165.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…02d2backed Team Falcons | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Team Falcons | 59c | 162.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…ce0ebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 157.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Team Liquid | 67c | 148.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 143.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Falcons | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 43c | 138.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 51c | 128.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Team Falcons | 40c | 124.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Team Liquid | 50c | 120.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.