TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3a5d…3367

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 63 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+64.6%+$7.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.23
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.22
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.83
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+85.8%+$18.02
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+75.6%+$12.92
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+72.5%+$14.49
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+74%+$31.98
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.08
Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+104.6%+$21.6
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+116.5%+$120.97
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.57
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+68.3%+$11.27
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.94
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Zomblers (BO3) - CCT North America Series #3 Playoffsbacked Zomblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+36.3%+$11.98
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+54.2%+$34.53
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+48.7%+$6.36
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1687.5%14 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+58.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$16.65
LoL: EKO Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+114.6%+$19.49
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.4%+$5.69
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+89.5%+$47.42
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$34.47
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Playoffsbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37.5%+$5.65
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.55
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.49
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+39.9%+$14.52
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.3%+$13.94
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+155.7%+$23.35
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+127.4%+$68.81
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+45%+$22.32
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.31
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.4%+$11.4
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.