TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
33of fnatic, 33
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,205 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked 3340c23,845$9,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,361.6883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3355c14,701$8,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,582.973,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked fnatic57c11,129$6,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,324.3127133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked 3340c8,041$3,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,825.1912449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked fnatic45c6,506$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.861,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic40c6,192$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.576,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed fnatic61c5,200$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,174.3724846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed fnatic60c4,783$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8706432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed 3340c4,195$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.1435153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked 3340c3,833$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.7718550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed fnatic45c3,607$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.2829647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed 3349c3,590$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.931060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked fnatic60c3,334$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.388852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed 3346c3,000$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked fnatic45c2,875$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2804731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked 3337c2,700$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.9816240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed 3338c2,400$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48884958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked 3337c2,370$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.5939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed 3341c2,255$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.3610952.3%57 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed fnatic54c2,239$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.4446843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f5…c12bbacked fnatic17c2,200$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked 3341c2,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.97520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed fnatic64c1,955$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.263652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked fnatic44c1,838$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked fnatic40c1,740$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.33185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-75.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb88e…08f3backed fnatic62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed fnatic59c1,550$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.7834235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed fnatic59c1,538$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.1518752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed 3337c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed 3356c1,361$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.937054.3%38 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed 3342c1,361$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.0413546.7%63 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d3…5ea8backed fnatic60c1,232$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.93253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked fnatic9c1,231$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed 3347c1,195$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.5617034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed fnatic60c1,150$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbacc…fbe8backed fnatic49c1,116$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.551163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed fnatic53c1,101$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed fnatic61c1,084$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.4960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed fnatic56c1,057$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.6438835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked fnatic31c1,020$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed fnatic50c1,012$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.2346344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed 3341c999$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.4150043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed fnatic49c968$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed fnatic32c930.11$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0337646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed fnatic44c930$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.2638037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked fnatic60c925.17$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.112038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed fnatic41c907.67$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.4792152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed fnatic2c842.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.111,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked fnatic60c834.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked fnatic60c799.59$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6225651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3338c790.05$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.035,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed fnatic60c790$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47322342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed fnatic62c769.63$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47738452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed fnatic78c742.39$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5809058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3352c697.07$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.034,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed fnatic63c678.73$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4271855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked 3364c674.59$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.596544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab6b…d9d3backed fnatic30c664$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb0c…9fe7backed fnatic72c650.01$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed fnatic60c636.02$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.6119645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a97…6315backed 3339c605.64$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.441118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02af…a5adbacked fnatic43c588.63$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed fnatic49c584.29$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.781,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb713…9126backed 3341c559.07$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed fnatic62c534.87$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1426155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 3349c511.07$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.121,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc0…9ed1backed fnatic59c503.84$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed 3340c500.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.632653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed 3366c500.59$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9627348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed 3341c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2955257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd168…a9c3backed fnatic60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked 3342c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1927530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3342c460.38$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed 3360c459.72$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8824746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked fnatic61c449.1$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.954434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4274…a1e9backed 3364c422.83$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.13666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 3354c421.47$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3369863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked 3336c411$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0412946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked fnatic45c407.13$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.331,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30c…3f38backed fnatic60c405$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2433447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed fnatic48c400.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5322045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed fnatic47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18813144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed fnatic17c399.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6857322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed fnatic32c391.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0914532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed fnatic60c359.68$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.813050%15 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cc5…7b98backed fnatic59c358.92$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…a1f2backed fnatic60c356.67$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b54…0b79backed fnatic62c355.37$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203778.4%29 W · 8 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked fnatic29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013540.7%55 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked fnatic48c344.4$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2278963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed fnatic47c338.95$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.097935.4%28 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed fnatic60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked fnatic50c312.73$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e4…af09backed fnatic60c310$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70da…2b5ebacked fnatic53c300.42$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0859…43acbacked fnatic60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed fnatic61c297.23$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c76…0569backed 3336c286$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.721546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed fnatic35c279.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7246340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed 3341c274.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9329934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.