TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb88e…08f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+34.9%+$209.65
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+108.3%+$325
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$724.07
Counter-Strike: 33 vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$905
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+70%+$493.33
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs magic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$357.17
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$456.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$343.8
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$556
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Valorant: M80 vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$77.14
Valorant: SaD Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$345
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.8%+$133.03
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.7%+$603.62
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$342.82
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$523
Valorant: QoR vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$555
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Metepec: Alexis Galarneau vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+48.1%+$64.93
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+59.1%+$159.69
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$880
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjenbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Zeynep Sonmez vs Sara Bejlekbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+52.8%+$108.18
Dallas Open: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$103.38
Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$124.14
Set Handicap: Cristian (-1.5) vs Snigur (+1.5)backed Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Spread: Florida Gators (-22.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-6.5)backed South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.6%+$91.21
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-18.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$97
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$390.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+87.3%+$594.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.5%+$179.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CB Breogan Lugo vs. CB Murciabacked CB Breogan Lugo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$235
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.