NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd2ee799f2ffd9a3bdb98793badd2f665ed54648a892dcb0e7375dae3c9e1779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0900…3e1dbacked Over | 48c | 9,700$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…9b1abacked Under | 52c | 9,188$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Under | 52c | 5,858$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 4,173$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.69 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,457$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.54 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed Under | 53c | 1,276$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 1,249$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.6 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,200$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 444$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 48c | 290$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 46c | 282.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 207$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…6ab0backed Under | 53c | 187.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 144.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 126.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…19dcbacked Under | 53c | 106.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Under | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 31c | 61.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked Under | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 62c | 42.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Under | 52c | 42.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…cca1backed Under | 52c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…4a34backed Under | 67c | 20.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +1,156.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. BruinsBruins won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.