NHL · resolved market
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7c92c0175daf6e5535ff9d954abf49bb9de72067770f1f8f68e080091a431ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Predators, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bruins | 70c | 339.67$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked Predators | 31c | 332$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Predators | 27c | 206.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Predators | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bruins | 69c | 166$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bruins | 69c | 110.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Predators | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Predators | 29c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Bruins | 71c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Predators | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Predators | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Predators | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Predators | 35c | 45.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Predators | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Predators | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Bruins | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Bruins | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Predators | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…1f46backed Bruins | 71c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bruins | 64c | 27.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Bruins | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Bruins | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Bruins | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Bruins | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Bruins | 72c | 19.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Bruins | 66c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Bruins | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Bruins | 71c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Bruins | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. BruinsBruins won
- Predators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.