NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf1467400577d1ea1c7df67bdadcc2244d93eb0efb9c841a6048f4d0f752399d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Bruins, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Predators | 69c | 644.36$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Bruins | 31c | 501.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Bruins | 30c | 335.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Predators | 70c | 303.61$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bruins | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Predators | 57c | 270$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Predators | 70c | 268.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bruins | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Predators | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Bruins | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Bruins | 34c | 113.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Bruins | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Bruins | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Predators | 72c | 83.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Predators | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked Bruins | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Bruins | 29c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 29c | 58.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Predators | 69c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Predators | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Predators | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Bruins | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Predators | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bruins | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Predators | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Predators | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Predators | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Predators | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Predators | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Predators | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Predators | 63c | 20.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Predators | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Predators | 65c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Predators | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Predators | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Predators | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Predators | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. BruinsBruins won
- Predators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.