TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, KOLESIE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked KOLESIE55c24,199$13,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,214.653,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed ex-RUBY43c23,097$10,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,081.6313954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed ex-RUBY42c5,321$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.4820856.3%117 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed KOLESIE60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed ex-RUBY44c2,800$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56884958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x437b…fab1backed KOLESIE56c2,533$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d43…7791backed ex-RUBY76c2,244$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed KOLESIE60c2,188$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.2638844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked ex-RUBY41c2,024$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.3920539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed KOLESIE56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf4…5daabacked ex-RUBY40c1,739$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked KOLESIE42c1,101$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.722,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88e…08f3backed KOLESIE59c776.24$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.91533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked KOLESIE57c608.65$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.931752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked ex-RUBY41c595.66$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed KOLESIE58c509.34$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.628660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff7c…c36abacked ex-RUBY40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY36c487.54$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.637,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY43c401$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.575,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed KOLESIE58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed ex-RUBY17c350$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.55543.6%24 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked KOLESIE58c332$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5616738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY29c297.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.986,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed KOLESIE57c291.4$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.19842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82f6…6446backed KOLESIE72c251.03$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked KOLESIE59c240$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.626553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed KOLESIE59c229.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.678749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed ex-RUBY31c208.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0229128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf03d…21fbbacked KOLESIE58c203.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked KOLESIE59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0375…a989backed KOLESIE78c150.91$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked ex-RUBY42c149.95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9743640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…2f17backed KOLESIE57c121.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed KOLESIE61c121.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.546246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed ex-RUBY43c105$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5616450.6%83 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed KOLESIE59c100.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6215738.2%60 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed KOLESIE56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5619643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked KOLESIE55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa6…9a42backed KOLESIE56c92.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe72…cf52backed KOLESIE58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked KOLESIE59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506264.5%40 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f8…22c7backed KOLESIE57c83.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked KOLESIE57c82.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.563636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed KOLESIE62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa100…60e1backed ex-RUBY30c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5613737.2%51 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked KOLESIE59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed KOLESIE58c66.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.827647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed KOLESIE56c59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1420243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2512…59f9backed KOLESIE61c57.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.97450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed ex-RUBY45c55.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7241054.6%224 W · 186 L+29.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed ex-RUBY36c55.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.638847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c2…d3ddbacked KOLESIE56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661e…c63ebacked ex-RUBY44c52.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.75246.2%24 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a60…24dfbacked KOLESIE58c51.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked ex-RUBY43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.524633.3%82 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97bf…b669backed KOLESIE56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…d0f5backed KOLESIE72c47.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0943…1d8dbacked ex-RUBY43c46.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed ex-RUBY43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35e…20e7backed KOLESIE28c44.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.191855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY48c39.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.495,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed KOLESIE62c37.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.124050%20 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c3…8e29backed ex-RUBY45c36.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.061118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x558c…d8ffbacked KOLESIE56c35.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed91…8ce8backed ex-RUBY44c33.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked KOLESIE54c32.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.451435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ae…3550backed KOLESIE58c30.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.74355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed KOLESIE57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d16…0abbbacked KOLESIE53c27.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.527941.8%33 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd925…cb41backed ex-RUBY56c26.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed96…d6edbacked KOLESIE57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed KOLESIE56c24.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.632638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked KOLESIE72c22.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed KOLESIE56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7126…ccdbbacked KOLESIE57c20.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-54.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed KOLESIE56c20.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed KOLESIE78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.612038.3%46 W · 74 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a61…c19dbacked KOLESIE60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed KOLESIE59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x588e…5a21backed KOLESIE75c17.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460e…607cbacked ex-RUBY67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.953375.8%25 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.