TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed96…d6ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.1
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will Francesca Hong win Milwaukee County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$6.08
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.8
Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.72
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$15.94
Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$7.95
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$14.7
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.41
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$24.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+36.5%+$4.01
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winnerbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+39%+$6.17
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$56.95
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+74.6%+$15.81
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.06
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+97%+$9.85
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.58
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$20.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$21.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.