CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6717be875335de99dcc0116166ad66f28a96a21ce39c6dde552683c7e6e453b2

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spiritof Spirit, Astralis
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $195,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $233,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,828 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Spirit	75c	24,617$18,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,081.45	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis	28c	15,375$4,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,375.76	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis	21c	13,774$2,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,869.73	194	55.2%107 W · 87 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Spirit	64c	7,793$5,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,774.61	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis	21c	7,516$1,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.29	271	33.2%90 W · 181 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Astralis	11c	6,884$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.43	573	22.3%128 W · 445 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis	25c	4,756$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,186.26	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Spirit	73c	4,538$3,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,210	159	70.4%112 W · 47 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Astralis	41c	3,259$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.42	598	39.6%237 W · 361 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Astralis	37c	3,100$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis	42c	3,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	818	43.2%353 W · 465 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Spirit	74c	2,952$2,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.98	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Spirit	67c	2,779$1,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.68	210	42.9%90 W · 120 L	-12.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis	27c	2,564$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.01	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis	19c	2,451$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.33	229	27.5%63 W · 166 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6d…cf10backed Spirit	74c	2,300$1,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.82	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Astralis	24c	2,100$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit	74c	2,045$1,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.74	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Astralis	12c	2,017$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.85	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c9…b8bbbacked Astralis	35c	2,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis	29c	1,981$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.28	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Spirit	80c	1,466$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.94	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	-13.6wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5ab6…ee04backed Spirit	76c	1,405$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.23	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Spirit	80c	1,396$1,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.4	93	64.5%60 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…300bbacked Spirit	72c	1,322$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.73	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa340…409bbacked Spirit	57c	1,188$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.59	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit	60c	1,166$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.41	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit	69c	1,075$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.84	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	812	44.3%360 W · 452 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Astralis	40c	1,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	221	42.5%94 W · 127 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Astralis	17c	990.27$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.74	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7d9…6e70backed Spirit	78c	956.01$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.32	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f5…3382backed Spirit	80c	945.73$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.69	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Spirit	76c	923.51$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.51	151	62.3%94 W · 57 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0114…22a6backed Spirit	80c	908.97$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.53	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis	24c	877.52$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.76	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Astralis	21c	868.12$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.71	119	28.6%34 W · 85 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed Spirit	62c	857.35$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.35	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Spirit	60c	845.17$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.21	362	45.3%164 W · 198 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed Astralis	25c	801.2$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Spirit	64c	779.26$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.26	656	50.3%330 W · 326 L	-15.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Spirit	76c	689.62$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.69	178	50%89 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Spirit	60c	668.77$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.9	298	51.3%153 W · 145 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked Astralis	33c	600.24$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	180	40.6%73 W · 107 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Astralis	27c	585.9$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.08	291	28.5%83 W · 208 L	-30.2wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Astralis	35c	571.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	602	48.7%293 W · 309 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis	24c	549.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.57	970	40.7%395 W · 575 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Astralis	31c	538.65$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.42	273	48.4%132 W · 141 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d8…dc4abacked Astralis	42c	514.02$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0179…5ff2backed Spirit	66c	509.66$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.46	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis	29c	507$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.24	1,040	44%458 W · 582 L	-22.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Spirit	67c	462.99$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.57	589	61.3%361 W · 228 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Astralis	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	37.4%52 W · 87 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Spirit	71c	423.69$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.27	617	54.8%338 W · 279 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Astralis	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75d…30adbacked Spirit	61c	411.52$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.22	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Spirit	73c	375.76$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.91	1,033	61.6%636 W · 397 L	+87.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed Astralis	26c	360.32$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.88	197	32.5%64 W · 133 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit	77c	348$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.83	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f9…cfd8backed Astralis	45c	300.48$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed Astralis	22c	300$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Astralis	35c	288.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	219	47.5%104 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed Spirit	74c	270.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	101	52.5%53 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e94…85e6backed Spirit	78c	257.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.53	79	69.6%55 W · 24 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Astralis	27c	248.8$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.31	1,378	45.2%623 W · 755 L	+17.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Spirit	67c	237.31$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.31	538	59.3%319 W · 219 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Spirit	80c	236.75$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.35	225	54.2%122 W · 103 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfced…6116backed Astralis	35c	230.88$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.57	106	40.6%43 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Spirit	60c	222$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.8	157	43.3%68 W · 89 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed Astralis	34c	205.97$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	173	47.4%82 W · 91 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Spirit	76c	200.3$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.3	225	50.7%114 W · 111 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb20…b9c0backed Spirit	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Spirit	75c	198.06$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.51	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Astralis	38c	185.27$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.42	447	43.8%196 W · 251 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Astralis	19c	185.19$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.19	139	52.5%73 W · 66 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Astralis	27c	180.73$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	596	47.3%282 W · 314 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Astralis	45c	180$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Astralis	13c	175.92$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.87	105	34.3%36 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Spirit	75c	175.61$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.27	157	38.2%60 W · 97 L	-13.6wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Spirit	75c	169.81$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.4	468	43.4%203 W · 265 L	-11.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe513…7eebbacked Spirit	59c	169.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.73	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Astralis	10c	161.41$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	229	31.4%72 W · 157 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Spirit	75c	152$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Astralis	42c	150.95$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.4	74	25.7%19 W · 55 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76c0…4731backed Spirit	60c	150$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x185a…5104backed Astralis	34c	145$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.3	67	14.9%10 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5862…76abbacked Spirit	69c	143.95$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.95	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a5…83dbbacked Spirit	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ccc…6b82backed Spirit	70c	141.6$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.48	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29ca…1963backed Spirit	75c	140.91$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.23	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Spirit	78c	137.28$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.2	157	49%77 W · 80 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Spirit	67c	136$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.56	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Astralis	27c	134.44$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	439	33.7%148 W · 291 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Spirit	75c	133.47$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.47	767	48%368 W · 399 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Astralis	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9e…b513backed Spirit	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Spirit	68c	122.57$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.22	1,043	57.3%598 W · 445 L	+17.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ab…3a19backed Spirit	78c	118.18$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Spirit	76c	116.09$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.87	198	43.9%87 W · 111 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…04d0backed Astralis	41c	111.71$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	65cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ASpirit won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Spirit won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event