CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3efd596e90d53c5d7713d5a9cc52a918b23115b3b8590b9ad1f6ea6bb4e3af58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 67c | 2,928$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.32 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 2,277$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Over | 39c | 256.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…d1e7backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Over | 46c | 209.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 35c | 139.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…85e6backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 38c | 123.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 63c | 123.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b962backed Under | 65c | 89.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 21c | 77.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 42c | 72.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 70c | 71.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 32c | 66.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 68c | 66.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…b987backed Over | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 30c | 51.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Under | 56c | 50.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc382…2b24backed Under | 68c | 50.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Over | 40c | 45.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 63c | 35.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Under | 69c | 28.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 59c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.