CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09067754f7337e4d0a48f8a5cfc9c6cdc29a478b2d73600a9cba83b9b845fd65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Spirit | 67c | 30,000$20,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.85 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Astralis | 33c | 27,705$9,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,133.23 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Astralis | 4c | 16,482$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 62c | 9,897$6,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.21 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Astralis | 33c | 9,415$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.81 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis | 39c | 8,466$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.73 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 76c | 7,814$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.12 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 29c | 4,452$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.62 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis | 29c | 3,257$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.43 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Astralis | 16c | 2,973$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.94 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 66c | 2,600$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Spirit | 69c | 2,507$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.25 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Astralis | 32c | 2,431$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Spirit | 53c | 2,409$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.94 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Spirit | 66c | 2,355$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.39 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 39c | 2,325$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.43 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit | 66c | 2,222$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.48 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 29c | 2,024$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.82 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Astralis | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.82 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…30adbacked Astralis | 28c | 1,930$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Spirit | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit | 33c | 1,786$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.63 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 41c | 1,773$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.91 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed Astralis | 35c | 1,735$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 44c | 1,619$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 72c | 1,619$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.03 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…b8bbbacked Astralis | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Spirit | 39c | 1,477$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.63 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Astralis | 45c | 1,454$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.28 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis | 8c | 1,245$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Astralis | 33c | 1,025$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.23 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Astralis | 44c | 1,015$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.54 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Spirit | 51c | 1,007$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.43 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Spirit | 66c | 989.56$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.67 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Astralis | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…6e88backed Astralis | 30c | 917.4$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 29c | 822.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.66 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit | 61c | 798.16$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…dc4abacked Astralis | 54c | 791.97$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Spirit | 59c | 630.75$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.82 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Spirit | 60c | 597.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 44c | 556.55$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Astralis | 31c | 533.66$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Astralis | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed Astralis | 30c | 508.03$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spirit | 67c | 499.74$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.91 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 72c | 480$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit | 63c | 479$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 50c | 475.86$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.11 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Spirit | 53c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a5…f049backed Astralis | 46c | 364.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Spirit | 45c | 347.33$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Spirit | 58c | 342.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…fe49backed Astralis | 14c | 330$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Spirit | 68c | 328.32$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Astralis | 46c | 327.54$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Astralis | 32c | 315.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Astralis | 44c | 309.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spirit | 64c | 309.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Astralis | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Astralis | 29c | 302.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Astralis | 33c | 301.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Astralis | 33c | 278.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit | 50c | 276$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Astralis | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…b513backed Spirit | 49c | 244.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Spirit | 62c | 223.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Spirit | 69c | 220.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Astralis | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Astralis | 19c | 193.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed Spirit | 56c | 189.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 37c | 187.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Astralis | 63c | 178.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3a19backed Spirit | 66c | 175.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Astralis | 32c | 170.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis | 33c | 167.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Spirit | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Astralis | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Spirit | 59c | 163.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Astralis | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Astralis | 31c | 155$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Astralis | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…5ce1backed Astralis | 25c | 142.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Astralis | 29c | 141.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Spirit | 51c | 128.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Spirit | 43c | 117.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis | 31c | 107.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Astralis | 50c | 100.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Astralis | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Spirit | 51c | 98.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Astralis | 41c | 96.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Astralis | 60c | 95.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Spirit | 53c | 95.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…e069backed Spirit | 53c | 94.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Astralis | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked Astralis | 51c | 93.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Astralis | 21c | 84.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…5ff2backed Astralis | 37c | 82.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.