TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$311,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7add…f9f4backed Astralis0c29,857$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Astralis14c21,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.9813633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Astralis16c14,476$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.4512450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Astralis20c11,755$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8fa…77b5backed Astralis17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.993721.6%8 W · 29 L-9.6wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-58.2%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis15c7,941$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.361,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Astralis15c7,078$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.6972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis17c6,973$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.3642440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Astralis10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis17c4,801$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.112,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77da…f400backed Astralis1c4,458$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68d…2fe8backed Astralis16c4,302$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.285129.4%15 W · 36 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Astralis15c3,604$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5454621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Astralis15c3,500$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.2750833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Astralis17c3,309$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.5819645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Astralis17c2,826$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4215441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Astralis16c2,463$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.221737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis17c2,438$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.781,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed Astralis19c2,184$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41111937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Astralis16c2,116$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.511638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed Astralis25c2,018$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.127642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Astralis19c2,011$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9822448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Astralis14c1,834$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0332930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Astralis17c1,784$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Astralis19c1,720$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32314744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Astralis17c1,719$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Astralis16c1,649$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.837146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis15c1,571$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.83,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Astralis15c1,302$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Astralis25c1,133$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.194528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Astralis12c1,020$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.564841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed Astralis16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16055736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Astralis13c961.54$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Astralis16c800$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Astralis17c763.68$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5129128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Astralis12c750.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905543.6%24 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Astralis20c748.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d65…e506backed Astralis17c663.43$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.53650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebee…b373backed Astralis16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Astralis20c609$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.446344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Spirit75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15012736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d5…c615backed Astralis17c588.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.027335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Astralis17c576.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2330335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Astralis17c550$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.414839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Astralis17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8597230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Astralis16c499.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9934235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Astralis15c494.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7433153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe321…bc47backed Astralis6c480.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.274843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe035…ae18backed Astralis21c480.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Astralis20c467$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1848948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x932c…8658backed Astralis21c418.89$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.67243.1%31 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x158f…11a1backed Astralis10c415.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Astralis14c400.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.761747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda9…dc6ebacked Astralis13c400.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.151020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed Astralis18c348.51$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6543442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Astralis12c339.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8063…b962backed Astralis18c332.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.23145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Astralis19c327.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7516527.9%46 W · 119 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0538…c828backed Astralis16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Astralis16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c37…e7eebacked Astralis16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Astralis14c283.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408619.8%17 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e25…ad7fbacked Astralis18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f8…8520backed Astralis22c272.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Spirit78c269.16$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.225954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis18c268.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8427133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7124…93eabacked Astralis14c265.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.485843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe599…0dd3backed Astralis11c263.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.751233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Astralis7c261.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.093636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Astralis20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f9b…71f8backed Astralis24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c9…9fcbbacked Astralis16c248.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.342245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis9c243.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.611,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Astralis11c237.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2716146%74 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Astralis10c227.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3222931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef0…eba7backed Astralis25c221.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.924040%16 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…0f49backed Astralis27c220.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604542.2%19 W · 26 L-7.6wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Astralis15c220.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.347935.4%28 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5c…718dbacked Astralis20c212.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked Astralis26c205.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0318959.8%113 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1293…32b5backed Astralis20c203.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.443461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Astralis19c199.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3956738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Astralis15c199.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.995550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02e…8fb2backed Astralis22c181$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.361250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x804e…d85fbacked Astralis23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb597…2949backed Astralis24c170.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Astralis16c169.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.921,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x185a…5104backed Astralis18c167$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.067115.5%11 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed Astralis12c166.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7417617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9936…1d7dbacked Astralis22c164.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.822420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa715…4349backed Astralis17c158.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-77.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Astralis26c157.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4121137.4%79 W · 132 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb32…0cc1backed Astralis12c154$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Astralis16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Astralis10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517050.6%86 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Astralis15c149.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.817633%58 W · 118 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1304…f273backed Astralis25c145.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ee…5a77backed Astralis19c136.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.