CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf931461dc663e2735e7edbaa9e85c453c0d17b1be968a73bbd53047f0bff8bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Astralis | 0c | 29,857$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Astralis | 14c | 21,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.98 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Astralis | 16c | 14,476$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.45 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Astralis | 20c | 11,755$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Astralis | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis | 15c | 7,941$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.36 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 15c | 7,078$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.69 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis | 17c | 6,973$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.36 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Astralis | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 17c | 4,801$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.11 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…f400backed Astralis | 1c | 4,458$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed Astralis | 16c | 4,302$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.28 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Astralis | 15c | 3,604$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Astralis | 15c | 3,500$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.27 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Astralis | 17c | 3,309$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.58 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Astralis | 17c | 2,826$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.42 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Astralis | 16c | 2,463$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 17c | 2,438$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.78 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Astralis | 19c | 2,184$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Astralis | 16c | 2,116$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.5 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Astralis | 25c | 2,018$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.12 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Astralis | 19c | 2,011$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.98 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Astralis | 14c | 1,834$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.03 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Astralis | 17c | 1,784$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Astralis | 19c | 1,720$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Astralis | 17c | 1,719$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Astralis | 16c | 1,649$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.83 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 15c | 1,571$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Astralis | 15c | 1,302$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Astralis | 25c | 1,133$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.19 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Astralis | 12c | 1,020$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed Astralis | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Astralis | 13c | 961.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Astralis | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Astralis | 17c | 763.68$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Astralis | 12c | 750.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Astralis | 20c | 748.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…e506backed Astralis | 17c | 663.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…b373backed Astralis | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Astralis | 20c | 609$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Spirit | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed Astralis | 17c | 588.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Astralis | 17c | 576.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Astralis | 17c | 550$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Astralis | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Astralis | 16c | 499.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Astralis | 15c | 494.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…bc47backed Astralis | 6c | 480.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe035…ae18backed Astralis | 21c | 480.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Astralis | 20c | 467$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Astralis | 21c | 418.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…11a1backed Astralis | 10c | 415.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Astralis | 14c | 400.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda9…dc6ebacked Astralis | 13c | 400.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Astralis | 18c | 348.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Astralis | 12c | 339.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b962backed Astralis | 18c | 332.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Astralis | 19c | 327.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0538…c828backed Astralis | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Astralis | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…e7eebacked Astralis | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Astralis | 14c | 283.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e25…ad7fbacked Astralis | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…8520backed Astralis | 22c | 272.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Spirit | 78c | 269.16$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis | 18c | 268.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Astralis | 14c | 265.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe599…0dd3backed Astralis | 11c | 263.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Astralis | 7c | 261.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Astralis | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Astralis | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…9fcbbacked Astralis | 16c | 248.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 9c | 243.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Astralis | 11c | 237.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Astralis | 10c | 227.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…eba7backed Astralis | 25c | 221.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…0f49backed Astralis | 27c | 220.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Astralis | 15c | 220.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5c…718dbacked Astralis | 20c | 212.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked Astralis | 26c | 205.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed Astralis | 20c | 203.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Astralis | 19c | 199.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Astralis | 15c | 199.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…8fb2backed Astralis | 22c | 181$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…d85fbacked Astralis | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Astralis | 24c | 170.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Astralis | 16c | 169.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed Astralis | 18c | 167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Astralis | 12c | 166.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…1d7dbacked Astralis | 22c | 164.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…4349backed Astralis | 17c | 158.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Astralis | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0cc1backed Astralis | 12c | 154$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Astralis | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Astralis | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Astralis | 15c | 149.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…f273backed Astralis | 25c | 145.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…5a77backed Astralis | 19c | 136.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.