Us Midterms · resolved market
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf753c50b7cf344b3cc53b9431c10c866beccd923b1f99ffe189d0dd93d132ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 37c | 4,619$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.47 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 53c | 4,614$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.67 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 71c | 4,382$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 26c | 2,187$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.41 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 49c | 1,616$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.92 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 54c | 1,200$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.32 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 53c | 743.92$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.04 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 700.91$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.31 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…d854backed No | 68c | 641.79$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Yes | 52c | 599.32$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 69c | 592.2$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.62 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 34c | 590.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…5f09backed Yes | 60c | 562.84$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…e799backed Yes | 52c | 524.87$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 33c | 495.11$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed No | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 432.63$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 28c | 408.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed No | 47c | 375$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 69c | 357$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.33 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 344.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 334.11$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 28c | 319.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 32c | 312.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed No | 69c | 309.27$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 53c | 291.2$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 33c | 287.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 68c | 263$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.84 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…7a6dbacked Yes | 56c | 253.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 68c | 220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 57c | 210.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 191.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 65c | 186.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 59c | 185$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 56c | 179.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 53c | 172.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 22c | 170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 32c | 152.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes | 58c | 146.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 26c | 145.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 35c | 141.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…b075backed Yes | 58c | 137$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed No | 67c | 123.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…b747backed Yes | 51c | 104$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 99.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…6daebacked Yes | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 37c | 94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 47c | 89.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 45c | 83.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…9297backed Yes | 51c | 80.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 72c | 78.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked No | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 18c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 29c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5568…9ea3backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked No | 44c | 55.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dc…bc46backed No | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…2e01backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…e865backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f76ebacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Yes | 70c | 47.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd047…b496backed No | 43c | 42.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…6b78backed Yes | 52c | 41.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 46c | 41.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ee…a2e3backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…c246backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…c753backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 72c | 39.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…d6edbacked Yes | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 54c | 31.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…f5e7backed Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 43c | 26.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?this page
- Will 1 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?No won
- Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?No won
- Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.