Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8200cbb48405c8805964e1b5e6cb46fb817d3d4aab0713c8808314c552d297fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 32c | 40,000$12,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,905.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 32,061$11,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,238.1 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 65c | 11,414$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.85 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 49c | 9,841$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 8,153$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.96 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 3,831$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.13 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 3,680$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.49 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.9 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 46c | 2,211$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 60c | 2,196$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.41 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 1,879$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.2 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed No | 5c | 1,678$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 1,435$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.77 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 1,126$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.99 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,029$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.11 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Yes | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 51c | 754.34$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.62 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…772ebacked Yes | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c00…ed33backed No | 52c | 690$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…6be6backed Yes | 49c | 670$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…324dbacked No | 52c | 660$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e2…787cbacked No | 52c | 640$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…6d93backed Yes | 49c | 620$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 51c | 590$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 47c | 444.68$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 418.9$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.59 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 72c | 394.44$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 49c | 376$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 43c | 340$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 68c | 333.32$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 17c | 270.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 49c | 244.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 242.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 23c | 237.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 51c | 234.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 32c | 234.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 223.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 32c | 211.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed No | 52c | 205.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 50c | 201.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 68c | 198.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 29c | 180.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 14c | 173.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 48c | 167.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 25c | 166.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Yes | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Yes | 67c | 134$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 28c | 132$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 40c | 123.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed No | 29c | 115.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…8a8ebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 51c | 99.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 67c | 94.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 48c | 93.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 52c | 87.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 40c | 82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…61a8backed No | 65c | 74.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 39c | 74.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 42c | 72.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…845dbacked No | 50c | 71.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed No | 16c | 67.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Yes | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…d6edbacked No | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 45c | 64.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 64.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 60.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…0f5abacked No | 24c | 58.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.