World Politics · resolved market
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x124f07d29e0fbef1f36535f4f1ee289759ec8bca4a708c4934a557ff556cd05c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $581,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $532,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 76c | 40,523$30,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,546.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…d881backed No | 2c | 35,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…55a1backed Yes | 77c | 26,561$20,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,180.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 18c | 26,292$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 31c | 23,034$7,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,247.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 23c | 20,773$4,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 3c | 18,301$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.5 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked No | 3c | 17,786$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 76c | 15,910$12,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.69 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3239…8da3backed No | 23c | 15,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 20c | 15,000$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 10c | 13,944$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…ea88backed Yes | 79c | 12,334$9,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…22b0backed No | 2c | 11,733$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed Yes | 66c | 10,868$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked No | 3c | 10,457$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…f7a9backed Yes | 69c | 10,381$7,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…6621backed Yes | 67c | 10,000$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 28c | 10,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 1c | 9,784$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 27c | 9,080$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.09 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 21c | 8,073$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.78 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 3c | 7,900$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.11 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed No | 19c | 7,779$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 78c | 7,200$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 23c | 7,127$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 5c | 7,011$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.41 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 69c | 6,127$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.09 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 24c | 5,861$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.13 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 67c | 5,626$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.9 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 37c | 5,114$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.53 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 70c | 4,975$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.66 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 4c | 4,862$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 66c | 4,821$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.05 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 24c | 4,788$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.99 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 21c | 4,628$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.98 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 4,535$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.41 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…282dbacked Yes | 75c | 4,228$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 39c | 4,078$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.79 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 22c | 3,534$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.48 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 18c | 3,500$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 24c | 3,453$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.7 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 4c | 2,695$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 6c | 2,649$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9b…f4bebacked Yes | 76c | 2,596$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed No | 13c | 2,500$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 64c | 2,424$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.17 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 18c | 2,300$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.29 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 24c | 2,137$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.17 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 22c | 2,118$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +342%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 30c | 2,073$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.64 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…9e90backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 23c | 1,966$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…c4eebacked No | 2c | 1,821$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 25c | 1,811$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed No | 13c | 1,800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…f788backed No | 3c | 1,799$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 20c | 1,613$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.74 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,502$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed No | 28c | 1,500$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,483$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed No | 39c | 1,441$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 5c | 1,427$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 24c | 1,400$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 72c | 1,350$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.5 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 21c | 1,319$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 34c | 1,310$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.33 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 77c | 1,297$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed No | 39c | 1,271$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf648…8232backed No | 29c | 1,231$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 80c | 1,184$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 13c | 1,112$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 69c | 1,077$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…d9e8backed No | 3c | 1,054$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 4c | 1,043$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,032$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…0756backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…8545backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…9456backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked No | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 33c | 954.84$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 15c | 939.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 75c | 934.67$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 13c | 922.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 26c | 906.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 24c | 848.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 25c | 846$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6e…4391backed No | 27c | 832.27$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 63c | 810.81$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed No | 19c | 807.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed Yes | 66c | 799.99$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…9e91backed Yes | 74c | 793$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 6c | 785.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?this page
- Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?No won
- Will Giles Watling get second place in the Clacton by-election?No won
- Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?No won
- Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?No won
- Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?No won
- Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?No won
- Will Tony Mack get second place in the Clacton by-election?No won
- Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.