Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd949e206fca8ea354b3818629b87b93b5caac52874d46f0b872af198a33bb203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,463$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.86 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 38c | 1,417$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 63c | 1,345$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.23 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,134$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed No | 51c | 961.2$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 57c | 926.3$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…cd2fbacked Yes | 51c | 627.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…8fa1backed No | 22c | 454$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 60c | 403.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 41c | 384.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 44c | 356$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 47c | 289.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 44c | 241.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed No | 43c | 229.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 52c | 219.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 65c | 218.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed No | 43c | 212.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 54c | 185.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 72c | 182.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…901abacked Yes | 75c | 175.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed Yes | 49c | 174.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 53c | 172$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 47c | 168.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 149.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 51c | 149$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 54c | 149$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 22c | 141.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 46c | 140$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 79c | 117.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…7a58backed Yes | 73c | 110.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9832…6e4dbacked Yes | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ba…3e29backed Yes | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 43c | 101$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…68aebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked No | 21c | 95.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc1…6113backed Yes | 53c | 94.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Yes | 63c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 67c | 90.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…a3dabacked Yes | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes | 61c | 68.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 23c | 66.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb105…4f13backed Yes | 79c | 63.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…1e3abacked No | 51c | 58.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Yes | 61c | 58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 43c | 55.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 45c | 53.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…1e65backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…22bcbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51d…4982backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 32c | 47.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…c43ebacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 38cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…403ebacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 61c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 50c | 38.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 53c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 32c | 36.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0ce8backed Yes | 47c | 34.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Yes | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 50c | 32.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 65c | 32.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 52c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…5630backed No | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffee…ea6bbacked Yes | 50c | 25.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed Yes | 76c | 21.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 21.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…d6edbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…e4afbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…1316backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…2f31backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 54c | 19.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 67c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Yes | 77c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?this page
- Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?No won
- Will PPI YoY be 5.3% in July?No won
- Will PPI YoY be 5.4% in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.