Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480ee71010b9bb04ade8027a607ee04130271c4be270c3bd5ba4dd3591e66d5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 72c | 11,285$8,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,832$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…7c7ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,330$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 28c | 1,325$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…67c6backed Yes | 28c | 1,179$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 29c | 1,176$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 30c | 583$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 29c | 482.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 397.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 366.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed Yes | 28c | 358.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 29c | 357$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…dab0backed Yes | 19c | 355.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d2…4142backed Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…85b3backed Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…6f20backed Yes | 38c | 349.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…901abacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…14f8backed Yes | 28c | 289.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…d88cbacked Yes | 17c | 258$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 11c | 248.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 18c | 170$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed Yes | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…d854backed Yes | 28c | 155.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked Yes | 29c | 137$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 19c | 110.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…f0e0backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…d971backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…68aebacked Yes | 21c | 89.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…78babacked Yes | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…c43ebacked Yes | 19c | 70.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 38cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 17c | 59.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…1b0dbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…4a9dbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…e637backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…2b79backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…47a2backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…1479backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…e434backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…d394backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…90acbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…8490backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…1b11backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…1d24backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e8…637abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0e…3c0fbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…079bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…6254backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…3998backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…0412backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…ad95backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…03b1backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…13e1backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…9feabacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…a4e6backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…160abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 36c | 44.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ee…a2e3backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…c246backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 74c | 38.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 21.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?this page
- Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Yes won
- Will PPI YoY be 5.3% in July?No won
- Will PPI YoY be 5.4% in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.