TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Canucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canucksof Ducks, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$732,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$848,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 494 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks59c100,897$59,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,528.971,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Canucks44c73,421$32,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,810.59875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Canucks43c68,601$29,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,028.6311052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canucks43c62,065$26,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,230.951,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks55c52,875$29,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,073.9438748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Ducks58c40,000$23,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Ducks59c40,000$23,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,599.993243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Canucks42c36,134$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,833.735364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks57c28,463$16,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,162.351,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Canucks41c25,500$10,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0454365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Canucks43c16,600$7,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,461.943435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Canucks41c16,498$6,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,771.794148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Canucks41c13,200$5,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,790.034866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Canucks41c12,869$5,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,602.277162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canucks55c12,754$7,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,694.762,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Canucks41c12,293$5,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,234.626849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Ducks57c11,419$6,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,548.8761748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Canucks41c10,445$4,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,162.3310650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ducks55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50041850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Ducks55c9,999$5,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.4513363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Canucks41c9,979$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,890.2911745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Ducks56c9,084$5,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0938848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Ducks56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Ducks56c8,918$4,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99432151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Ducks57c8,511$4,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.9356649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9e…c707backed Ducks62c8,428$5,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,232.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Ducks57c8,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Canucks41c7,340$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3137737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x022a…351dbacked Ducks57c6,846$3,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,891.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Canucks41c6,800$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0126456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Canucks43c6,499$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,718.121,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Canucks70c6,190$4,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.066065%39 W · 21 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+99.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Canucks42c5,762$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.8633243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Ducks62c5,711$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.8324749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canucks41c5,656$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.051,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Canucks41c5,085$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.983764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Ducks59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Canucks43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Ducks60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00015145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a2…f3f9backed Canucks42c4,977$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks58c4,505$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.541248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Ducks54c4,499$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.9318344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Ducks9c4,332$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.474912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canucks42c4,306$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.413,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a1…bbecbacked Ducks56c4,127$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Ducks57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28021036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Ducks59c4,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3406949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Canucks42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.997347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Ducks17c4,000$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6653625%9 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks44c3,642$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.5295049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks57c3,451$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.6161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Ducks55c3,342$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Ducks51c2,935$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x531a…0443backed Canucks42c2,578$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Canucks45c2,550$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.441,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks43c2,542$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.711,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7149…b782backed Canucks42c2,465$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks42c2,406$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.381,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks57c2,400$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5e…f840backed Ducks58c2,397$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a6…96c1backed Ducks58c2,346$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Ducks57c2,326$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.585856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12dd…9a0cbacked Ducks58c2,292$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks57c2,274$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.1886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Ducks57c2,270$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.5825555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc88…1bfcbacked Canucks42c2,164$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Ducks50c2,136$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.312859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks52c2,115$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.892,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36fb…baa0backed Ducks58c2,037$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Canucks41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Ducks57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1403145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa4…98a0backed Ducks59c1,909$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks11c1,877$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb87a…63a1backed Canucks42c1,864$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Ducks59c1,806$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.514953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Ducks57c1,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02640049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canucks42c1,768$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.541,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Ducks58c1,737$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.218258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ee…4841backed Ducks59c1,734$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Ducks58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Canucks42c1,663$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.5479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Canucks41c1,656$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.214140.4%57 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Canucks40c1,626$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.762951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Canucks80c1,625$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Canucks43c1,612$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.667647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Canucks46c1,580$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Canucks72c1,551$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.491,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Canucks42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87051044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Canucks41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.9936038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Ducks58c1,500$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.9813747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Canucks74c1,480$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5952172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Canucks43c1,437$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.363249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Ducks59c1,408$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.0375251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Ducks56c1,368$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.154259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks42c1,357$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.291,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Canucks57c1,335$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.8157157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d0…e7d8backed Ducks59c1,333$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Canucks41c1,312$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.1214757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks57c1,306$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.1254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Canucks42c1,285$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.2691653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.