NHL · resolved market
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40bac8f566e210d3a88a8367afcc292fb2d27494eaf856f7e85d218f4a7be022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Ducks, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 38c | 3,879$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.46 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 64c | 3,681$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.21 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Ducks | 38c | 2,875$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.41 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks | 37c | 2,124$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.85 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Canucks | 63c | 1,952$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.38 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canucks | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Ducks | 37c | 835$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Canucks | 62c | 834.07$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.95 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 34c | 594.07$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.65 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Canucks | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Canucks | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Canucks | 63c | 492.06$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Canucks | 63c | 482.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Canucks | 63c | 371.52$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Canucks | 67c | 358.66$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ducks | 27c | 353.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Canucks | 68c | 286.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Ducks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 62c | 229.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 66c | 226.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ducks | 28c | 184.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canucks | 61c | 179.41$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Ducks | 34c | 144.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ducks | 29c | 100.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Canucks | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canucks | 73c | 82.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canucks | 66c | 76.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 71c | 68.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Canucks | 62c | 55.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Canucks | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Canucks | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Canucks | 64c | 42.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Ducks | 35c | 38.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Ducks | 33c | 32.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 65c | 32.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Canucks | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Canucks | 64c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ducks | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Canucks | 73c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 63c | 19.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)this page
- Ducks vs. CanucksCanucks won
- Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.