Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d62a8571af67005063a9182c72ede090f29f6e82d8680d61060d9756b49140f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 31c | 52,727$16,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,583.53 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 69c | 49,530$34,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,370.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 64c | 25,058$16,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,035.09 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 53c | 20,645$10,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,774.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 14,789$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.89 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 34c | 14,000$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes | 69c | 12,537$8,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 34c | 11,064$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…ed5ebacked Yes | 71c | 10,071$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 31c | 8,246$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.59 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 68c | 7,539$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.87 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 34c | 6,507$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 67c | 6,463$4,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.95 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 31c | 6,060$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.15 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 46c | 5,917$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.31 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 71c | 5,575$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.01 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 77c | 5,488$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.13 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 38c | 4,469$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 44c | 4,113$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.72 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 41c | 3,616$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.47 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 1c | 3,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 33c | 3,459$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 31c | 3,241$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.64 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 66c | 3,170$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 68c | 2,794$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.6 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…648dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,789$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 64c | 2,214$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.9 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed No | 33c | 1,971$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 1,857$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.45 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 31c | 1,790$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 42c | 1,749$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…f788backed Yes | 38c | 1,548$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…e2d8backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 43c | 1,470$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.12 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 38c | 1,448$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.11 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 56c | 1,400$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…f125backed No | 32c | 1,306$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…6be6backed No | 37c | 1,283$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 62c | 1,269$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…86efbacked Yes | 69c | 1,223$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 33c | 1,213$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.12 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 72c | 1,166$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.63 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…14f8backed No | 37c | 1,163$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…80e6backed Yes | 70c | 1,118$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…7c7ebacked No | 37c | 1,096$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 33c | 1,059$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 42c | 1,055$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.07 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 31c | 1,050$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…2d8bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,039$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed No | 35c | 1,022$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.76 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…f38cbacked Yes | 75c | 992.64$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 68c | 962.31$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 23c | 922.58$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.35 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 32c | 915$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.3 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…b9e0backed Yes | 64c | 863.22$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 32c | 822.77$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.24 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…3a3ebacked Yes | 65c | 797.66$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 795$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.72 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…dc5fbacked Yes | 63c | 790.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…746dbacked Yes | 65c | 761.53$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.54 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 38c | 754.12$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.18 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 69c | 751$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…c349backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 23c | 725.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…1434backed Yes | 71c | 710.43$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 46c | 705.23$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.02 | 335 | 21.8%73 W · 262 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 70c | 666.76$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…74d8backed Yes | 71c | 662.04$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 654.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 42c | 653.27$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.28 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed No | 31c | 650$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 40c | 646$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 17c | 639.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 33c | 605.42$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked No | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…a0efbacked No | 58c | 600$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 68c | 599.98$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.99 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 45c | 599.13$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.73 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed No | 34c | 589$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 53c | 582.29$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…00eebacked No | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked Yes | 43c | 557$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 53c | 545.77$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.09 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 10c | 542.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 70c | 540$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 25c | 532.42$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 25c | 509.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed No | 32c | 494.56$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…13d1backed No | 33c | 465.58$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 35c | 465.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 61c | 458.98$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.27 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked No | 30c | 445.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?this page
- Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.