Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd623c4191ca76dec466507375d6df85b403b7e14f9cbd3d09f2c450ae0cd96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 57c | 29,554$16,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,578.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 50c | 29,392$14,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,818.24 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 37c | 18,702$6,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,910.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 52c | 17,803$9,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,480.95 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf17c…0c29backed Yes | 72c | 9,769$7,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,013.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 32c | 9,381$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…d6bbbacked Yes | 29c | 6,512$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 65c | 5,517$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.44 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 31c | 5,339$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 72c | 4,655$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.14 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes | 43c | 4,447$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed No | 68c | 4,444$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 4,201$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.61 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 24c | 4,100$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.04 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 32c | 4,083$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.92 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 29c | 4,002$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes | 60c | 4,000$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 23c | 3,515$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.91 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 64c | 3,316$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.48 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed Yes | 51c | 3,207$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 40c | 3,191$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.08 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 3,050$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.49 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked No | 69c | 3,001$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.4 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.23 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked No | 49c | 2,566$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.81 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 74c | 2,398$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked No | 67c | 2,386$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…86efbacked Yes | 55c | 2,357$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 43c | 2,218$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 70c | 2,165$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.55 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 46c | 2,142$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.92 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 29c | 2,061$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.38 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 61c | 2,044$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.57 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed No | 43c | 1,904$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 41c | 1,806$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.58 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 69c | 1,749$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.79 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 19c | 1,723$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.29 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed Yes | 33c | 1,535$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…62e9backed Yes | 28c | 1,441$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,434$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 49c | 1,400$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.27 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 59c | 1,379$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdc…1348backed Yes | 30c | 1,361$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 72c | 1,312$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed Yes | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 69c | 1,182$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 70c | 1,170$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed No | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 78c | 1,088$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 36c | 1,050$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.5 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…7483backed Yes | 80c | 1,022$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…9099backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed No | 63c | 981$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 33c | 969.26$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 78c | 962$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 26c | 958.51$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 60c | 929.19$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.61 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 22c | 926$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed Yes | 23c | 919$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 36c | 905$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 14c | 904.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.76 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked No | 57c | 903.53$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.18 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 900.01$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 72c | 896$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 80c | 880$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 34c | 878.61$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.37 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 36c | 873$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 22c | 871$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 26c | 861$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 70c | 860.68$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 25c | 839$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 28c | 831.56$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 71c | 804.59$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 72c | 796$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 787.98$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.36 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…36f0backed Yes | 28c | 769.75$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 768.46$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed No | 78c | 767$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed Yes | 30c | 756$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked Yes | 25c | 737$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 72c | 736$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 75c | 732$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 28c | 722$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 35c | 709$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 28c | 701$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 54c | 697$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…29fdbacked Yes | 30c | 696$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked No | 54c | 689$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…7406backed No | 72c | 678$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 665.79$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed No | 74c | 662$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 72c | 629.01$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 62c | 625$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 46c | 607$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 27c | 600$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 58c | 599.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Brad Kohler win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes won
- Will Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.