Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd25c820d3aee1c735c0fa62c36f4905632ab8c6988653b5b4134593b3209eb7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 52c | 34,775$18,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,774.09 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 37c | 27,941$10,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,343.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 45c | 23,000$10,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,279.98 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 63c | 20,055$12,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,478.74 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 28c | 9,460$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.73 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…b1febacked Yes | 66c | 6,540$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3137…d26fbacked Yes | 62c | 6,540$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 62c | 6,139$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 61c | 4,079$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 70c | 3,916$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.78 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4e…037cbacked No | 37c | 3,689$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5f…f138backed No | 38c | 3,689$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 65c | 3,410$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.19 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 3,031$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.21 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 30c | 3,000$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdc…6d9dbacked No | 38c | 2,851$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6b…2a62backed No | 37c | 2,851$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 34c | 2,491$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.47 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 78c | 2,470$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 2,368$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.21 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 72c | 2,268$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 44c | 2,012$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.54 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 45c | 1,802$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.97 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 47c | 1,731$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccc…edb7backed Yes | 71c | 1,726$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes | 23c | 1,524$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 32c | 1,510$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.77 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 47c | 1,304$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.43 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 31c | 1,182$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 67c | 1,178$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.2 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 60c | 1,156$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.63 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 61c | 1,153$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 59c | 1,099$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.52 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 59c | 1,037$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…f7a9backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 29c | 988$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.39 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked Yes | 39c | 974$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 972.64$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.41 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked Yes | 70c | 945.56$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 40c | 929.19$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.28 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 28c | 899.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 22c | 864$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 78c | 858$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked No | 78c | 854$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 76c | 848$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.48 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 26c | 806.62$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.89 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 46c | 789.76$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.99 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 56c | 785.27$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.83 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 78c | 749$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 15c | 724.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.8 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 24c | 710$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.6 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 37c | 697$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…a4aebacked Yes | 65c | 687.8$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 41c | 673$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 32cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 666.09$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Yes | 20c | 664.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 26c | 634.15$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.34 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 35c | 632.57$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.88 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed No | 62c | 623$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 22c | 605$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 22c | 602$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 43c | 579.05$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 61c | 557.95$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed No | 73c | 550$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 61c | 542$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.03 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 30c | 539.11$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.55 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 63c | 539$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 61c | 470$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 74c | 466$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 4c | 460$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed Yes | 39c | 457$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 78c | 455$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 41c | 436.62$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 59c | 432.16$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…931cbacked Yes | 71c | 431.03$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddf…5967backed No | 29c | 431.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…b9a8backed Yes | 62c | 420.23$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 419.83$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 40c | 416.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…bbd0backed No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 68c | 401.25$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.16 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed No | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 42c | 399.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 43c | 393.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.07 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 393$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 36c | 390.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 22c | 385$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes | 39c | 384$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 41c | 378$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 30c | 363.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 47c | 361.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Brad Kohler win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.