TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,476,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,815,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,476,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 731 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes47c427,552$200,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227,551.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No53c174,683$93,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,454.7427750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No53c93,359$49,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,480.1924846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c78,814$41,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,232.152,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes45c52,357$23,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,796.2919253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No53c50,707$26,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,876.141,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No55c50,000$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,499.9715949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,20014450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes48c30,000$14,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,574.873540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c28,893$13,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,272.871,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No55c26,401$14,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,520.4616651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked No51c23,353$12,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,009.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes47c20,035$9,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,570.2314544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes49c20,000$9,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,213.291266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c17,584$9,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,228.671,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc3…f2a0backed Yes45c17,572$7,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,664.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c17,299$7,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,106.572,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked No55c17,205$9,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,463540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No54c15,034$8,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,118.49856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c14,807$7,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,845.622,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c13,422$4,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,165.776,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked No53c12,015$6,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,338.051181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+47.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No54c12,000$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,48010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.996137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No54c9,999$5,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.4616851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No27c9,840$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.381,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes73c9,744$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.532948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c9,652$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,029.681,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No54c9,500$5,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10510924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No55c9,500$5,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,224.941361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes47c7,494$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,994.0911234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c7,395$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.714,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No51c5,804$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.1946551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c5,499$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,863.621,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes46c4,989$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.5514254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x937a…dbc8backed Yes46c4,913$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.041136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No54c4,800$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.953151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No52c4,706$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.22466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No52c4,500$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.941478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8644…02d2backed Yes46c4,017$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.182050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes46c4,000$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,18015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No1c3,889$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.541,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked No55c3,700$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes45c3,583$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.4851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb15…cbdabacked Yes47c3,398$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes45c3,326$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.4117634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.871338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes70c3,130$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.8938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed No55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6507929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5602365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes49c2,811$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.6621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Yes68c2,627$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed No53c2,611$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No52c2,467$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.429256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Yes43c2,457$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd928…7adebacked Yes43c2,301$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked No52c2,246$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1682860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1954…eea0backed Yes48c2,209$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3770…d4e5backed No53c2,139$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x302d…6fe1backed Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60be…9e6dbacked Yes52c2,111$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3314544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.997047.1%33 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes49c1,999$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.4912454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No53c1,988$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.5179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No51c1,741$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.349358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No53c1,710$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.625551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Yes48c1,655$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.421485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Yes42c1,619$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No55c1,578$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.4540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No52c1,552$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.7445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.6118123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7953435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No53c1,500$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.4852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes48c1,435$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.377844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes45c1,400$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No51c1,346$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.667252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No52c1,342$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.774845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd08…ee64backed Yes67c1,338$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No54c1,300$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70211346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed No31c1,295$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.452927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc739…b6c3backed Yes70c1,286$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+85.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes61c1,274$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.065135.3%18 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes45c1,246$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.536145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Yes41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.961741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Yes47c1,184$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Yes45c1,176$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.682540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1124047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.