TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes20c23,709$4,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,661.882,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No72c20,000$14,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9725752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No72c18,562$13,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,197.4619253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c15,159$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.236,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes27c11,486$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.36240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ed…4ae2backed No74c5,961$4,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c5,392$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.792,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c4,570$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.171,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked No72c3,208$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.331181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+47.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No73c3,000$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8407929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No75c2,469$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.6326344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No72c2,045$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.5633057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x069c…c844backed Yes28c2,004$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.231526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c1,932$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.5868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No73c1,781$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.827759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes30c1,602$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No71c1,600$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No70c1,593$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.7615748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c1,152$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.9652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006250%31 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…f74fbacked Yes1c1,036$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed No71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No72c921.03$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.559358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes29c873.38$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2811727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No71c863.38$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.384856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Yes1c818.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x621c…ae1bbacked Yes26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes23c781.89$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3323531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes28c701.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes29c701.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes27c610.24$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9222229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes29c590.85$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8630050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes14c582.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d5…e1e2backed Yes26c559.6$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed No72c555.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.667358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c549$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.271,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No74c536$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3614456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No71c511$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1942048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No72c500$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13831053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8014…e1b9backed Yes3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13530149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No72c487.76$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5718551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No72c487.75$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5713444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes28c483.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.435850%29 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed No74c472.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.973756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked No74c461.54$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes28c452.97$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.831741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No71c420$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No72c420$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No71c420$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.837557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.969749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes13c372.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No73c371$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.174755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed Yes26c360.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.841478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes28c332$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.863125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No71c330$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.737554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No71c329.98$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6935157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x888d…2dd6backed Yes3c322$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed No72c313.89$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.891566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes28c300$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes29c300$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8735056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8429259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410838.9%42 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes29c278$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6210246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7830059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes29c268.72$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.023748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52be…af6dbacked Yes9c255$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes29c247.28$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6272142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes28c234.58$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.441,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes27c223$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…409fbacked Yes27c220$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes30c213.7$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.113531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed No72c209.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.311338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed No72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.333447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168516.5%14 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98c3…6d88backed Yes6c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No72c199.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5611866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No72c199.97$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.992867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b1…6657backed No73c199.29$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c195$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.651,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c190.69$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.691,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes28c187.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2239052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…8380backed Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No74c179.88$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.773881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed No72c174.28$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.83333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes29c168.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.018038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No74c154$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0418052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.