TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No73c9,384$6,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.342,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c5,385$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.012,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c5,058$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.576,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes1c4,373$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.331,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes34c3,400$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1562638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8107929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No74c2,461$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.955164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4406829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes27c1,850$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.417028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes26c1,825$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3713939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c1,803$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.841,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No74c1,791$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.541866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes26c1,495$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.2411846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No75c1,413$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.33881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes28c1,300$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No75c1,182$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.431643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No72c1,023$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick20cpaid+287.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c893.65$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes27c734.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No75c709.63$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No75c707.72$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.931172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes26c457.69$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes26c403.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10519732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c398.02$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.472,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes26c328.44$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3918551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c317$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.431,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2348…cf00backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes22c273.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.573836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes27c261.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.691,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c239.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.281,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes27c213.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.73531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c212$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.121,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes32c210.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3510626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes26c197.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3932453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No75c177$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2514456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c156.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2368942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb441…89a1backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes26c146.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9816136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No79c134.72$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6825530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbaa…7688backed Yes26c132.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Yes26c130$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+60.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75c…543ebacked Yes26c126.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes26c105.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.459137.4%34 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276740.3%27 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2844036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf67…fc18backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c96.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.842324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes26c92.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2436036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89828.6%28 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…6190backed Yes27c85.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes17c85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0516238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d44…2f97backed Yes30c79.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.912263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c25…606ebacked Yes26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.319542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212263.6%14 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a5…4512backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d78…7defbacked No78c63.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x771a…1734backed Yes27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2036…0f0fbacked No74c62.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+162.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No74c57.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0725551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde33…1496backed Yes26c57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f72…dd3fbacked Yes34c56.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4161…c578backed No74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.051070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…8b53backed Yes28c53.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes26c50.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1220246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1320958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe3…4766backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413542.2%57 W · 78 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1317955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No74c49.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1340157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Yes27c42.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.576147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188a…de60backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a18…ba41backed Yes31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118942.7%38 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c2…8c24backed Yes31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+43.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7314…3e03backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No74c27.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2417464.9%113 W · 61 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b75…de0cbacked No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No74c27.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0213045.4%59 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.