TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a18…ba41

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
392
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10263.7%65 W · 37 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$19.43
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.36
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$68.15
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.98
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$43.86
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.73
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.08
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.08
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$54.31
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.94
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.51
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.19
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.74
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.91
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.42
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8942.7%38 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$7.12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$57.38
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+129.1%+$15.92
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$27.18
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.44
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$62.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$23.8
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$38.84
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+382.1%+$137.43
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.6
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.57
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT7553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$31.11
The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.21
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.2
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
The Hundred: MI London vs London Spiritbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$9.56
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$151.95
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$37.31
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.24
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.98
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.64
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.22
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.45
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.02
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$49.89
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.75
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+233.3%+$31.27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$69.03
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$104.61
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$31.91
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.33
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+136.9%+$29.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$158.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14.37
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.95
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+150%+$24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$44.47
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.35
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.44
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+126%+$38.31
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+168.8%+$56.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+80.5%+$27.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+161.6%+$90.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.59
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+217.5%+$154.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$13.61
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+183.1%+$53.11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$21.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$37.12
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+106%+$33.31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.54
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.4%+$77.66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.61
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.49
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$33.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+41.3%+$12.39
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.67
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$5.92
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 6 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+85.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.23
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.7
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100%+$18
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.49
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$57.7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.29
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+60.8%+$10.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.