La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb02cd02a71d5b64acc77dc2625d3799ef3f246538b80970f5bcab144766b17c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 37,952$15,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,412.08 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 59c | 26,850$15,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,841.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 15,093$8,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,895.02 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 40c | 12,858$5,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 11,977$6,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 8,389$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.64 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 32c | 7,624$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.03 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 59c | 7,036$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.34 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 59c | 6,955$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 6,413$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.96 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.89 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 61c | 5,070$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.95 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 40c | 4,948$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.8 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 53c | 4,453$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.47 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 28c | 4,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 60c | 4,152$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.2 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 60c | 4,122$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 3,688$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.53 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 59c | 2,491$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.7 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 2,474$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.39 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 2,150$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.5 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 39c | 2,044$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 41c | 1,990$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 39c | 1,637$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.28 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 59c | 1,636$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.28 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 62c | 1,588$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 40c | 1,470$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.98 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 14c | 1,382$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 29c | 1,355$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.64 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Yes | 41c | 1,315$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 60c | 999.98$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.22 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 39c | 974.1$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.2 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 39c | 974.02$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.88 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 40c | 916.88$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.13 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…787bbacked Yes | 40c | 911.03$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 38c | 899$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.38 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 73c | 832.76$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.05 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 41c | 804.88$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.88 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 789.51$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.87 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 42c | 774$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.92 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…6e90backed Yes | 13c | 752.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +510.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…d023backed No | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 9c | 520.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 41c | 512.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 495.51$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.3 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 484.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.82 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 33c | 465.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 36c | 433.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…98e1backed No | 26c | 417.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes | 69c | 391.38$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 17c | 385.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 29c | 381.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 60c | 345$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 26c | 338.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 305.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.88 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked No | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 41c | 274.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae3…493abacked Yes | 8c | 266.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +565.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 59c | 259.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 41c | 246.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 40c | 245$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes | 41c | 244.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa626…5ca1backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Yes | 40c | 230.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 63c | 228$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 40c | 222$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 60c | 221.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…6c02backed No | 60c | 217.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…2870backed No | 58c | 215.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…410fbacked No | 60c | 207.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…82a7backed No | 61c | 200.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9d…ad44backed No | 60c | 199.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…d577backed No | 60c | 174.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938b…46c0backed No | 60c | 173.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
- Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.