La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf58b8738c2fb2fbf3b773f0772a4283277f34b865463f907eda56407b88c92e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 40,746$15,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,883.15 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 16,552$10,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,934.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 15,542$9,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,561.91 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 60c | 9,015$5,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,409 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 60c | 4,745$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.94 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…a67ebacked Yes | 39c | 4,676$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 62c | 2,937$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.24 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 39c | 2,812$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.05 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 59c | 2,776$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.6 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 38c | 2,728$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.55 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Yes | 39c | 2,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 36c | 2,489$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.85 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 62c | 2,300$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.92 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 58c | 2,278$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.05 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 58c | 2,001$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.56 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 1,882$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.12 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 63c | 1,666$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.64 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed No | 63c | 1,607$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…5ce8backed Yes | 37c | 1,605$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 1,601$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.82 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 1,486$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.51 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 36c | 1,423$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.01 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed No | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.46 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 38c | 1,306$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.82 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 33c | 1,283$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.23 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 38c | 1,276$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.86 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 80c | 1,242$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 38c | 1,155$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.55 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,048$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.12 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Yes | 10c | 1,022$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 63c | 997$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…eba4backed Yes | 38c | 995.99$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…8344backed Yes | 11c | 913.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +356.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 56c | 880.15$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.69 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 36c | 699.96$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.97 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 17c | 697.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.75 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 38c | 692.11$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 62c | 640$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.8 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 62c | 610$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed No | 59c | 601.69$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 37c | 569.93$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.05 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 42c | 548.27$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.27 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 37c | 530.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.79 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 38c | 526.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.3 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 19c | 515.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 12c | 515.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.28 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Yes | 20c | 502.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Yes | 44c | 500$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 485.79$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.52 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 30c | 399.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Yes | 36c | 399.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 397.15$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.68 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Yes | 14c | 357$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…34e9backed Yes | 38c | 347.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Yes | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 315.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.02 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes | 11c | 309.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.09 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…c48ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 63c | 299.24$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.12 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 28c | 297.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 38c | 295.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.19 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 50c | 289.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 16c | 282.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…ef0abacked Yes | 39c | 278.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 62c | 274.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 29c | 270$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 62c | 263.15$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 59c | 240$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes | 47c | 226.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 19c | 210.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…7180backed Yes | 32c | 202.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 197.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Yes | 29c | 196.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 60c | 191.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 42c | 171.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 56c | 162.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…4d9ebacked No | 63c | 161.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 60c | 160.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?this page
- Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.