TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No60c10,668$6,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.74,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes29c6,897$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes29c5,376$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.171643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No69c4,076$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.64633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+475.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes49c3,939$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No71c3,860$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.443930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c3,560$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c3,551$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.262,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c2,669$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.881,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9813845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c1,746$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.6983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes22c1,460$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.861,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes32c1,333$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.833342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes55c1,278$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.6469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes74c1,200$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.861668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No14c999.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.994337.2%16 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd628…ee82backed Yes3c920.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Yes33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes33c750$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.295058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes28c733.89$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.498229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes42c700.09$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9711336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed No72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No69c699.99$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2175046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked No73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.934862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No69c647.82$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.996553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes29c620$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.515940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes34c593.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No24c557.17$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.2629038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked No35c430$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.35440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No32c390.63$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6320148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes63c384.13$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2425952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965657.1%32 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa31…5cc1backed Yes9c299.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c296.88$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.135148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…588abacked Yes33c290.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c290.57$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2148153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes29c281.37$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.541,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b7…b46fbacked Yes34c267.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed No33c248$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1672147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Yes62c240$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.81844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No48c235.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3514067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes57c223.05$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.141154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes29c222$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.384126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes26c220$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No17c218$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8515444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1b…c496backed Yes33c212.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes33c212.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes14c183.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No70c182.51$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.415443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Yes30c170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c159.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2674457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes69c155.46$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.939557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No23c150.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7137039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.57236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9313668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a6…92bcbacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…783bbacked No38c120$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes30c118.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes30c114$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.25230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Yes53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Yes55c108.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.528838.6%34 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes33c102$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6614540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5762744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535529.1%16 W · 39 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534139%16 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed No57c95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.55147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-87.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed No73c94.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5213100%13 W · 0 L+4.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdc2b…b582backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2563…f946backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes33c86.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.655034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1142158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe10d…575cbacked Yes62c83.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.56520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5c…15d9backed Yes33c81.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc4…f39bbacked Yes32c77.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes33c76.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8a…4926backed No68c76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes34c74.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No19c74.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.122553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No52c73.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.129134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe109…8ec3backed Yes57c70.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.39134.1%31 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Yes56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…5334backed Yes61c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.